@raymondpoincare

#63,47016

0x44202a597d93c768eb6f72dcb38050af816eea24

~167d· 137 markets · 4767 tradesVol: $931,8692026-08-04 15:17:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (51/105)9.3/20
0.27x (win $809 / loss $3,032)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5550/15
Sortino -5.8580/10
$-0.1291 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1259 (105 markets)6.2/10
11/34 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 642% of peak ($2,639 / $411)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,526
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.6 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#13,967$1,486Vol: $582,623
SPORTS#105,739$133Vol: $344,748
CRYPTO#1,457,633$-93Vol: $4,498

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,526
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$931,869
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
137
total markets
Trades
3765B / 1002S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~167d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $1,359
Month
$154
Vol: $35,480
All Time
$1,526
Vol: $931,869

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
51W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$1,526
Win Rate
49%
51W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $649 (0.4256054002687027% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$563
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$56
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30
Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$7
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?$6

Top Losers

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-586
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-513
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-439
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-195
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-195
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-140
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-139
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-66
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-63

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.277
HHI
135
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.325
Kelly %
34.0%
Half-Kelly
17.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
22.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.1m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 554s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency0.7 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)20.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 9:42:20 PM4 trades$1,6254 min
7/2/2026, 12:06:46 AM4 trades$1,0002 min
5/29/2026, 12:42:40 PM21 trades$9943 min
5/23/2026, 5:14:09 PM30 trades$9020 min
5/27/2026, 3:59:11 PM38 trades$5836 min
6/15/2026, 7:20:55 PM34 trades$52828 min
5/27/2026, 4:50:23 PM10 trades$4973 min
6/2/2026, 1:13:33 AM13 trades$4850 min
7/3/2026, 8:38:47 PM21 trades$4640 min
7/30/2026, 10:54:03 PM12 trades$4338 min
4/26/2026, 4:11:30 PM21 trades$4124 min
6/13/2026, 11:30:10 PM18 trades$4113 min
7/7/2026, 12:34:05 AM7 trades$3820 min
5/22/2026, 8:25:12 AM14 trades$3712 min
6/1/2026, 1:59:06 AM6 trades$3524 min
5/31/2026, 8:15:48 AM8 trades$3111 min
4/11/2026, 8:01:25 PM26 trades$3096 min
7/6/2026, 11:32:17 PM2 trades$3000 min
7/27/2026, 5:34:12 PM14 trades$2846 min
5/29/2026, 1:39:40 PM5 trades$2530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
03-11
03-24
06-04
06-17
07-01
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.2 / M4.5 / H20.3