@realizedlosses
#15,291280x588b9dab66658fd6ce7765204b0ddc4d7a2e5635
~15d· 14 markets · 266 tradesVol: $113,7492026-09-21 18:03:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (7/12)14.2/20
0.67x (win $17,343 / loss $25,956)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3310/15
Sortino -2.4730/10
$-0.1851 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1609 (12 markets)4.5/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 461% of peak ($23,783 / $5,161)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+10,022
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 27.3 entries/market
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#14,224$1,464Vol: $47,927
💰 FINANCE#1,288$3,956Vol: $24,044
📈 ECONOMICS#2,610$1,283Vol: $14,336
Overview
#1Net PnL
$9,497
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$113,749
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
113B / 153S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d
Periods
#2Today
$84
Vol: $13,777
Week
$46
Vol: $13,777
Month
$84
Vol: $13,777
All Time
$9,497
Vol: $113,749
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
7W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$10,022
Win Rate
58%
7W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$2,478
Avg Loss
$-5,191
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,886 (1.3855860961745123% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$6,123
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,886
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$3,877
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$1,652
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?$1,409
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$224
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$173
Top Losers
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-22,114
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?$-1,668
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-1,161
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$-612
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-400
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
4816
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56%
Top-5 markets
122.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.9m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)60.2%
High (>55c)23.9%
Sessions
#124/18/2026, 3:05:32 AM71 trades$16,4457 min
9/21/2026, 6:55:33 AM24 trades$14,8321 min
7/7/2026, 4:47:58 AM16 trades$11,0702 min
6/18/2026, 6:48:52 AM33 trades$10,2961 min
6/18/2026, 6:57:26 AM16 trades$8,3270 min
7/8/2026, 11:15:14 AM25 trades$6,7482 min
3/29/2026, 11:24:42 AM5 trades$5,5878 min
4/25/2026, 9:45:10 PM19 trades$4,8593 min
5/3/2026, 6:52:46 AM1 trades$4,0790 min
4/25/2026, 10:01:18 PM24 trades$3,0521 min
4/3/2026, 3:59:33 AM1 trades$2,9550 min
4/28/2026, 9:02:52 AM2 trades$2,3263 min
3/26/2026, 5:40:07 AM2 trades$1,9991 min
5/4/2026, 3:24:22 PM1 trades$1,1560 min
3/24/2026, 9:28:25 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/21/2026, 1:34:35 AM1 trades$9990 min
4/25/2026, 10:07:16 AM10 trades$4355 min
4/3/2026, 4:10:09 PM3 trades$3702 min
3/26/2026, 8:37:01 PM1 trades$3250 min
4/28/2026, 8:47:08 AM3 trades$2751 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
03-29
04-03
04-25
04-28
05-04
06-18
07-07
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.33/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15.9 / M60.2 / H23.9