@redpanda135

#2,849,84737

0x0e3412b36668dcb987582e6c96f7e15fea71f1a7

~15d· 24 markets · 155 tradesVol: $50,5692026-08-04 18:13:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (15/20)20/20
0.18x (win $379 / loss $2,077)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3270/15
Sortino -6.0560/10
$-0.0423 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1133 (20 markets)6.8/10
7/10 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 2378% of peak ($2,077 / $87)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Consistent
7/10 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#35,842$302Vol: $24,705
CRYPTO#61,925$223Vol: $19,163
📈 ECONOMICS#669,641$-217Vol: $2,377
SPORTS#1,818,796$-818Vol: $2,000
💰 FINANCE#94,055$3Vol: $1,426
💻 TECH#20,342$8Vol: $898

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-501
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,569
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
90B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$13
Vol: $0
Week
$62
Vol: $14,843
Month
$192
Vol: $16,143
All Time
$-501
Vol: $50,569

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
15W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-564
Win Rate
75%
15W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-692

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $189 (0.33399475586421934% of PnL)

Top Winners

GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$73
Nothing Ever Happens: July$58
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?$57
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 by July 31?$43
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$41
GRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?$28
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?$25
RipCars FDV above $7.5M one day after launch?$15
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$12
Another Elon baby by June 30?$11

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,636
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-301
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.314
Sortino
-0.201
HHI
536
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
46.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 916s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.1
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)83.3%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 5:49:24 PM2 trades$8,9730 min
8/2/2026, 6:32:05 PM2 trades$4,8551 min
8/2/2026, 11:04:03 AM3 trades$3,9600 min
7/30/2026, 1:16:51 PM10 trades$3,5061 min
7/29/2026, 9:25:42 AM2 trades$2,8270 min
7/31/2026, 6:17:15 PM5 trades$2,4534 min
8/2/2026, 1:02:39 PM4 trades$2,2050 min
7/30/2026, 12:40:12 PM8 trades$2,1720 min
7/19/2026, 5:39:25 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
8/2/2026, 4:04:08 PM1 trades$1,9780 min
7/31/2026, 6:43:59 PM6 trades$1,5961 min
7/31/2026, 5:12:32 AM3 trades$1,1690 min
7/31/2026, 7:03:38 PM2 trades$1,1110 min
7/22/2026, 2:07:24 PM14 trades$1,0701 min
7/29/2026, 7:22:15 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/20/2026, 6:54:10 AM1 trades$9980 min
7/23/2026, 4:18:36 AM13 trades$9813 min
8/1/2026, 9:09:23 PM1 trades$9550 min
7/31/2026, 7:28:08 AM1 trades$8990 min
6/22/2026, 9:09:19 AM2 trades$8280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-29
07-19
07-23
07-25
07-29
07-30
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M16.7 / H83.3