@rgsnow.21
#2,956,514110x1a86c337d3e7da2b32031cf51190263c317d4683
~29d· 47 markets · 147 tradesVol: $95,0722026-09-21 18:03:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
32% (11/34)1.2/20
0.62x (win $1,046 / loss $1,686)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6300/15
Sortino -5.1290/10
$-0.1930 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 663 (34 markets)9.2/10
6/19 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($640 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,012$-782Vol: $65,755
💰 FINANCE#656,852$-475Vol: $19,169
₿ CRYPTO#39,035$545Vol: $10,148
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-712
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$95,072
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
71B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Today
$12
Vol: $0
Week
$-261
Vol: $91
Month
$-3
Vol: $13,607
All Time
$-712
Vol: $95,072
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
32%
11W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-689
Win Rate
32%
11W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$95
Avg Loss
$-77
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $894 (1.2979486360534835% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$404
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$353
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$136
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?$73
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$44
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$15
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30?$8
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada by November 30?$5
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$2
Top Losers
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$-398
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?$-308
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$-190
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?$-168
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-147
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-118
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$-100
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$-100
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-29
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?$-29
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-0.253
HHI
588
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.211
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
45.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 251s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.65
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)62%
Mid (20-55c)26.8%
High (>55c)11.3%
Sessions
#128/10/2026, 1:06:49 AM29 trades$1,3258 min
1/29/2026, 5:09:44 PM2 trades$6532 min
8/13/2026, 1:01:39 PM15 trades$5937 min
1/31/2026, 6:03:00 PM1 trades$4240 min
1/29/2026, 11:34:58 AM2 trades$3464 min
2/2/2026, 8:57:30 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/23/2026, 7:33:50 AM1 trades$2140 min
1/31/2026, 6:09:34 PM2 trades$2003 min
1/26/2026, 6:33:53 PM1 trades$1970 min
1/15/2026, 4:23:02 AM2 trades$1843 min
1/15/2026, 12:49:04 PM1 trades$1830 min
1/30/2026, 8:36:58 PM2 trades$1683 min
1/29/2026, 9:18:06 PM1 trades$1530 min
12/5/2025, 11:38:49 AM2 trades$1501 min
1/29/2026, 11:45:14 AM1 trades$1460 min
11/12/2025, 3:06:00 AM1 trades$1230 min
11/11/2025, 5:26:10 PM4 trades$1227 min
1/22/2026, 7:38:44 PM1 trades$1200 min
1/23/2026, 1:05:10 AM2 trades$1203 min
11/25/2025, 12:32:51 AM3 trades$1072 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
11-14
11-25
01-15
01-30
02-08
08-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62 / M26.8 / H11.3