richardd

@richardd

#2,941,68031

0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588

~293d· 2397 markets · 17668 tradesVol: $1,676,6192026-09-10 21:13:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (930/2209)6.1/20
1.05x (win $17,921 / loss $17,040)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2134/15
Sortino 0.5165.2/10
$+0.0062 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 42 (2209 markets)10/10
114/277 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 176% of peak ($2,985 / $1,700)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
Whale
$142,701 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#50,353$164Vol: $665,322
SPORTS#1,823,930$-553Vol: $353,007
💰 FINANCE#3,701$1,217Vol: $199,697
🌤️ WEATHER#303,878$-681Vol: $143,258
🎭 CULTURE#809,675$-262Vol: $101,805
💻 TECH#262,090$-135Vol: $64,107
CRYPTO#1,610,679$-352Vol: $49,373
📈 ECONOMICS#7,622$230Vol: $36,560
📢 MENTIONS#160,500$-46Vol: $22,767

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-678
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,676,619
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2397
total markets
Trades
10291B / 7377S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~293d

Periods

#2
Today
$163
Vol: $3,636
Week
$-539
Vol: $30,002
Month
$129
Vol: $75,109
All Time
$-678
Vol: $1,676,619

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
930W / 1279L events
Realized PnL
$-761
Win Rate
42%
930W / 1279L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,512 (7.244358283498718% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$3,739
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$992
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?$781
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?$735
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?$515
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?$470
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$455
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5$450
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$443
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 7?$422

Top Losers

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$-927
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$-630
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$-560
Damian Salas$-557
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers$-514
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-442
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-438
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$-419
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-348
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-310

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.011
Sortino
0.023
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
59.5
Very active
Markets / Day
8.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.8m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 371s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock59 trades/day — mass trading8.1 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)38.3%

Sessions

#12
4/20/2026, 11:21:26 AM10 trades$2,0945 min
3/22/2026, 6:01:49 PM2 trades$1,9601 min
3/22/2026, 1:05:37 AM6 trades$1,9003 min
3/20/2026, 3:45:07 AM2 trades$1,8001 min
3/19/2026, 3:38:29 AM2 trades$1,6502 min
1/21/2026, 8:21:44 AM18 trades$1,6118 min
4/8/2026, 9:26:49 AM4 trades$1,3902 min
3/18/2026, 2:23:19 PM2 trades$1,1401 min
4/20/2026, 10:38:56 AM3 trades$1,1350 min
3/19/2026, 8:57:29 AM5 trades$1,0368 min
3/20/2026, 2:16:17 PM7 trades$1,0033 min
3/19/2026, 11:24:53 PM4 trades$1,0036 min
3/19/2026, 7:48:39 AM3 trades$1,0024 min
3/22/2026, 7:07:37 PM4 trades$1,0001 min
6/28/2026, 2:04:40 PM17 trades$9850 min
7/3/2026, 4:38:38 AM14 trades$9710 min
1/21/2026, 4:53:42 AM4 trades$9423 min
4/28/2026, 4:26:16 PM3 trades$8651 min
4/28/2026, 9:56:58 PM6 trades$8603 min
5/25/2026, 12:40:13 AM10 trades$8593 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
12-03
01-18
03-05
04-25
06-14
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 246 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54 / M7.7 / H38.3