rickyvaughn

@rickyvaughn

#30,47812

0x32d1623dddbd4841a98da71e47f0436d2ef2b949

~273d· 340 markets · 4811 tradesVol: $2,153,0302026-08-04 13:52:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (68/300)0/20
0.98x (win $48,660 / loss $49,799)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0630/15
Sortino -0.1730/10
$-0.0078 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 171 (300 markets)10/10
36/160 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($14,762 / $12,608)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+4,297
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Whale
$146,581 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#3,949$9,563Vol: $1,640,256
SPORTS#1,784,616$-407Vol: $265,952
🎭 CULTURE#815,651$-4,649Vol: $201,977
📈 ECONOMICS#674,916$-441Vol: $37,677
💰 FINANCE#624,571$-66Vol: $4,168
💻 TECH#229,632$-12Vol: $3,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,989
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,153,030
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
340
total markets
Trades
2558B / 2253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~273d

Periods

#2
Today
$-27
Vol: $3,422
Week
$-159
Vol: $12,638
Month
$-191
Vol: $36,262
All Time
$3,989
Vol: $2,153,030

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
68W / 232L events
Realized PnL
$4,297
Win Rate
23%
68W / 232L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$716
Avg Loss
$-231

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,249 (6.80685970146475% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$14,539
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$8,555
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$6,155
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2,943
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$2,480
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1,237
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,224
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$1,033
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$912
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$861

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-3,463
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$-3,378
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$-2,872
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-2,786
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$-2,774
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-2,142
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$-1,824
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$-1,649
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$-1,371
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?$-1,236

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.003
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
13.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 314s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.26
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)10.8%

Sessions

#12
10/8/2025, 9:19:22 PM3 trades$24,9691 min
7/1/2026, 2:57:47 AM39 trades$7,9627 min
6/11/2026, 6:53:04 PM5 trades$5,0331 min
6/6/2026, 5:05:00 PM15 trades$4,8271 min
10/1/2025, 4:02:17 AM1 trades$4,5570 min
4/12/2026, 1:55:01 AM46 trades$3,8246 min
6/6/2026, 4:59:57 PM2 trades$3,7110 min
6/3/2026, 10:02:51 PM24 trades$3,2012 min
8/15/2025, 11:23:18 PM2 trades$3,0031 min
5/31/2026, 7:32:28 PM2 trades$2,9570 min
4/12/2026, 6:07:43 AM10 trades$2,9420 min
6/15/2026, 12:00:55 AM27 trades$2,6990 min
7/31/2026, 6:29:48 AM2 trades$2,5730 min
4/7/2026, 11:15:17 PM18 trades$2,3998 min
4/27/2026, 7:33:02 AM19 trades$2,33410 min
7/30/2026, 8:30:50 AM17 trades$2,2936 min
4/8/2026, 5:37:03 AM20 trades$2,2878 min
4/15/2026, 2:59:26 AM27 trades$2,2120 min
6/16/2026, 2:53:24 AM5 trades$2,1950 min
4/19/2026, 7:25:36 AM33 trades$2,1903 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
08-04
10-08
02-06
04-09
06-15
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.7 / M24.4 / H10.8