Polydata
rolodexoperator

@rolodexoperator

#2,99020

0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac

~337d· 2724 markets · 55784 tradesVol: $11,395,7382026-07-31 15:31:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (1127/2506)7.5/20
0.65x (win $145,603 / loss $224,379)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1890/15
Sortino -2.6670/10
$-0.0746 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 76 (2506 markets)10/10
125/321 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 323% of peak ($115,371 / $35,694)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+60,485
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,056,550 invested
High Roller
$3,117/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,495$31,982Vol: $9,294,857
🎭 CULTURE#1,710$4,484Vol: $677,944
💻 TECH#68$21,825Vol: $444,080
📈 ECONOMICS#6,057$347Vol: $378,980
CRYPTO#61,664$222Vol: $296,551
SPORTS#1,594,974$-51Vol: $163,470
💰 FINANCE#3,022$1,544Vol: $94,888
📢 MENTIONS#170,950$-305Vol: $21,063
🌤️ WEATHER#3,222$369Vol: $9,119

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$60,538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,395,738
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2724
total markets
Trades
34392B / 21392S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~337d

Periods

#2
Today
$-182
Vol: $7,710
Week
$-4,888
Vol: $363,149
Month
$11,115
Vol: $1,809,318
All Time
$60,538
Vol: $11,395,738

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
45%
1127W / 1379L events
Realized PnL
$60,485
Win Rate
45%
1127W / 1379L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$129
Avg Loss
$-169

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,140 (0.2668414654328799% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5,625
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$5,283
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,231
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$5,210
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$4,150
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$3,952
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$3,532
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3,203
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3,167
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,977

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-14,472
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-9,277
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-8,178
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-7,955
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-4,541
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-4,524
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-4,209
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,107
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-4,102
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-4,097

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.114
Sortino
-0.118
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.097
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
164.6
Very active
Markets / Day
8.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 165s — normal for humanCV 4.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock165 trades/day — automation8.0 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.3%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 5:00:28 PM16 trades$29,6752 min
7/7/2026, 11:56:53 PM29 trades$27,10815 min
5/28/2026, 3:57:50 AM158 trades$26,5700 min
5/19/2026, 9:00:59 PM22 trades$20,7788 min
7/14/2026, 11:35:01 PM20 trades$20,40826 min
5/18/2026, 6:56:08 PM59 trades$19,45118 min
5/28/2026, 2:25:57 AM20 trades$16,96911 min
4/22/2026, 11:57:58 PM85 trades$15,68614 min
5/30/2026, 4:46:28 PM2 trades$14,4880 min
6/4/2026, 6:31:01 AM11 trades$14,3328 min
12/4/2025, 5:37:37 AM15 trades$13,77120 min
4/1/2026, 4:22:37 PM4 trades$13,5110 min
4/24/2026, 6:51:40 PM25 trades$13,34212 min
7/2/2026, 8:13:49 PM2 trades$13,1110 min
4/1/2026, 6:29:57 AM19 trades$11,93119 min
6/8/2026, 1:22:13 AM12 trades$11,64913 min
6/14/2026, 11:06:03 PM38 trades$11,61021 min
3/28/2026, 11:03:42 PM6 trades$11,5174 min
5/6/2026, 1:15:20 AM63 trades$11,3484 min
5/3/2026, 9:14:26 PM3 trades$11,1945 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-27
10-23
12-18
02-09
04-03
05-30
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 86 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.01/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.3 / M12 / H38.7