@romanew-1-new

#43,53825

0x74386dfd2b031762e5d83e1b69f0e27797fbb741

~153d· 2714 markets · 10817 tradesVol: $191,3172026-08-04 18:10:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (875/1862)8.5/20
0.92x (win $5,899 / loss $6,403)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1040/15
Sortino -1.6680/10
$-0.0279 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 10 (1862 markets)10/10
72/150 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 192% of peak ($1,920 / $1,001)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,511
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#43,918$205Vol: $52,021
💰 FINANCE#5,148$749Vol: $38,395
₿ CRYPTO#62,051$222Vol: $25,972
🎭 CULTURE#7,210$578Vol: $21,861
⚽ SPORTS#76,658$269Vol: $21,448
📈 ECONOMICS#10,440$136Vol: $9,811
🌤️ WEATHER#5,937$139Vol: $7,276
📢 MENTIONS#6,991$79Vol: $4,812
💻 TECH#11,185$29Vol: $4,759

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,512
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$191,317
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2714
total markets
Trades
7839B / 2978S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$69
Vol: $1,244
Week
$12
Vol: $3,447
Month
$66
Vol: $4,333
All Time
$2,512
Vol: $191,317

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
875W / 987L events
Realized PnL
$2,511
Win Rate
47%
875W / 987L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $781 (0.31106226581134305% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?$382
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?$244
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$155
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?$140
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31?$125
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$123
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$118
Will Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$85
Will BNB reach $700 in May?$82
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$81

Top Losers

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-74
Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-50
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?$-41
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?$-40
Will Squid launch a token by October 31, 2026?$-37
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-37
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-36
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?$-36
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 105 mph?$-35
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.058
Sortino
-0.096
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.044
Kelly %
9.4%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.0
Active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 632s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency5.5 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.3%
High (>55c)31.9%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 11:17:33 AM10 trades$8313 min
4/27/2026, 1:21:34 AM3 trades$540 min
4/22/2026, 4:38:54 AM9 trades$539 min
8/4/2026, 1:35:33 PM2 trades$471 min
4/7/2026, 9:43:25 PM2 trades$470 min
4/11/2026, 6:31:59 AM2 trades$443 min
7/7/2026, 7:33:07 PM1 trades$410 min
6/14/2026, 12:19:01 PM1 trades$390 min
4/8/2026, 12:55:09 AM6 trades$3710 min
4/17/2026, 8:37:56 PM9 trades$3710 min
3/20/2026, 10:52:21 PM12 trades$3518 min
4/12/2026, 1:43:21 PM8 trades$344 min
7/20/2026, 6:22:25 PM2 trades$323 min
4/7/2026, 8:10:13 PM9 trades$3025 min
4/18/2026, 12:47:36 AM3 trades$295 min
7/17/2026, 8:08:12 PM4 trades$289 min
5/6/2026, 9:32:02 PM4 trades$280 min
4/1/2026, 10:04:51 PM5 trades$275 min
4/2/2026, 3:45:37 PM7 trades$264 min
4/22/2026, 6:27:28 PM2 trades$260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-31
04-25
05-20
06-14
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 81 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.06/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.8 / M21.3 / H31.9