rontro28

@rontro28

#21,45958

0x033025f6cede59b115a49446d0208586ba47eb8f

~253d· 671 markets · 7291 tradesVol: $886,399 @rontro282026-10-07 16:03:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (324/595)12.2/20
1.15x (win $18,227 / loss $15,871)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.69913.1/15
Sortino 0.9009/10
$+0.0148 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 256 (595 markets)10/10
108/180 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($4,678 / $7,024)0.7/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+5,649
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.1 entries/market
Whale
$159,118 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#9,202$2,939Vol: $710,187
⚽ SPORTS#29,322$1,475Vol: $60,562
🎭 CULTURE#6,601$664Vol: $29,566
💻 TECH#2,268$550Vol: $28,283
📈 ECONOMICS#5,663$373Vol: $24,361
💰 FINANCE#7,484$450Vol: $19,705
📢 MENTIONS#78,128$-1Vol: $1,722
₿ CRYPTO#1,243,811$-17Vol: $1,640
🌤️ WEATHER#22,219$10Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$886,399
Total Redeem
$410
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
671
total markets
Trades
5085B / 2206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~253d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $730
Week
$175
Vol: $4,433
Month
$875
Vol: $31,261
All Time
$6,198
Vol: $886,399

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
324W / 271L events
Realized PnL
$5,649
Win Rate
54%
324W / 271L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,974 (0.7035250424410648% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1,620
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$1,492
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?$862
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$846
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$716
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$588
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$478
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?$452
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$441
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$415

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-2,627
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-1,770
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$-1,160
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-914
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$-556
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$-535
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-473
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-448
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?$-368
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$-273

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.032
HHI
258
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
28.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.6m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 424s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)33%
High (>55c)37.6%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 12:01:57 AM3 trades$3,4405 min
2/28/2026, 1:45:09 PM6 trades$2,6955 min
4/1/2026, 4:17:57 PM2 trades$2,3950 min
10/21/2025, 6:28:49 PM3 trades$2,2262 min
7/26/2026, 9:56:28 AM12 trades$2,1520 min
2/28/2026, 9:21:09 PM3 trades$2,1135 min
2/19/2026, 10:18:56 PM6 trades$2,0733 min
4/4/2026, 12:12:09 AM4 trades$2,0002 min
2/28/2026, 9:11:57 PM6 trades$1,7602 min
2/21/2026, 8:47:46 AM1 trades$1,6000 min
2/21/2026, 9:37:22 AM1 trades$1,5600 min
4/7/2026, 10:45:35 PM39 trades$1,55428 min
1/28/2026, 3:48:32 PM4 trades$1,5315 min
5/21/2026, 10:04:26 AM2 trades$1,5020 min
2/21/2026, 1:14:46 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
1/29/2026, 4:38:24 AM10 trades$1,4947 min
1/21/2026, 11:11:36 PM4 trades$1,4796 min
1/17/2026, 6:15:56 AM1 trades$1,4150 min
2/27/2026, 7:36:09 PM6 trades$1,4086 min
1/28/2026, 3:29:21 PM7 trades$1,3615 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
11-14
12-21
01-29
03-03
04-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 116 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.08/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.4 / M33 / H37.6