
@satoshinakkamoto
#3,020,23850x3a57792d11b5b578384f260d73c12eec795afb43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (18/50)3/20
0.04x (win $45 / loss $1,177)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9550/15
Sortino -5.6850/10
$-0.1280 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4053 (50 markets)0/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 15256% of peak ($1,140 / $7)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#1,655,415$-1,342Vol: $28,233
⚽ SPORTS#1,799,176$-415Vol: $8,471
🎭 CULTURE#633,559$-4Vol: $238
📈 ECONOMICS#480,803$-1Vol: $50
🏛️ POLITICS#848,654$-1Vol: $9
💰 FINANCE#296,364$0Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,763
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,001
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
67B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$131
Vol: $1,616
All Time
$-1,763
Vol: $37,001
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
18W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-1,884
Win Rate
36%
18W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-37
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (0.008966824342618696% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$7
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?$6
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$4
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?$3
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?$3
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$3
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$3
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$3
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$3
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$2
Top Losers
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$-600
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-371
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-121
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?$-20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?$-14
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$-10
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?$-8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?$-4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?$-4
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.305
Sortino
-0.246
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.837
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
14.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 2.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.16
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.3%
High (>55c)40.3%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 2:20:05 PM8 trades$5,0400 min
5/17/2026, 6:23:02 PM2 trades$1,8750 min
3/16/2026, 10:37:13 PM1 trades$1,8470 min
2/12/2026, 2:12:17 PM1 trades$1,4970 min
2/25/2026, 3:01:14 PM1 trades$1,4710 min
8/11/2026, 2:22:01 PM10 trades$1,1951 min
1/5/2026, 12:15:45 AM2 trades$1,0051 min
5/30/2026, 5:00:24 PM18 trades$9401 min
2/5/2026, 3:25:27 PM1 trades$5580 min
3/15/2026, 5:19:37 PM1 trades$2990 min
5/6/2026, 1:48:28 PM2 trades$2900 min
2/8/2026, 3:28:53 AM1 trades$2780 min
5/17/2026, 8:43:20 PM16 trades$1060 min
8/9/2026, 12:22:12 AM2 trades$930 min
12/5/2025, 3:23:07 AM1 trades$200 min
11/19/2025, 11:01:33 PM4 trades$175 min
11/18/2025, 3:43:51 AM2 trades$161 min
11/17/2025, 3:43:43 AM1 trades$130 min
10/25/2025, 5:32:25 PM5 trades$104 min
12/20/2025, 4:05:32 AM1 trades$100 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
11-03
11-18
12-20
01-02
01-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 194 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.4 / M34.3 / H40.3