scottilicious

@scottilicious

#9792

0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e

~677d· 1195 markets · 27279 tradesVol: $69,759,256 @scottonPoly2026-08-01 19:29:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (990/1157)20/20
2.61x (win $2,707,238 / loss $1,037,506)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.83315/15
Sortino 8.94310/10
$+0.0318 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 59 (1157 markets)10/10
365/455 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($115,329 / $1,670,905)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+1,649,417
DCA Master
Avg 21.3 entries/market
Whale
$52,440,354 invested
Consistent
365/455 profitable days
High Roller
$66,380/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#28$1,193,531Vol: $49,567,539
🎭 CULTURE#23$166,612Vol: $7,448,629
📈 ECONOMICS#67$97,530Vol: $4,388,243
CRYPTO#313$107,340Vol: $4,361,959
💻 TECH#16$56,529Vol: $2,583,190
SPORTS#13,217$3,361Vol: $476,470
📢 MENTIONS#304$5,864Vol: $417,571
🌤️ WEATHER#346$5,717Vol: $92,865
💰 FINANCE#655,217$-2,262Vol: $86,070

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,649,785
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,759,256
Total Redeem
$1,239,909
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1195
total markets
Trades
20866B / 6413S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~677d

Periods

#2
Today
$432
Vol: $0
Week
$382
Vol: $35,038
Month
$432
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,649,785
Vol: $69,759,256

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
990W / 167L events
Realized PnL
$1,649,417
Win Rate
86%
990W / 167L
Profit Factor
2.61x
Avg Win
$2,735
Avg Loss
$-6,288

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $149,765 (0.09079881776875867% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?$53,087
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$49,037
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?$47,641
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$47,540
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$47,423
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$46,498
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$44,492
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$40,142
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$36,804
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$36,404

Top Losers

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?$-60,659
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-55,567
Trump wins every swing state?$-52,391
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$-48,228
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-42,917
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-40,383
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-39,069
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$-37,089
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-36,382
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?$-35,954

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.253
Sortino
0.248
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)4.1%
High (>55c)93.8%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 12:29:59 AM8 trades$386,4300 min
11/18/2024, 4:09:08 PM1 trades$319,9890 min
1/5/2026, 12:52:37 AM2 trades$309,0055 min
1/20/2025, 11:53:01 AM23 trades$299,58417 min
11/18/2024, 3:12:16 PM5 trades$286,1423 min
1/23/2026, 11:32:32 AM19 trades$283,9793 min
2/23/2025, 6:37:54 PM5 trades$267,6613 min
1/19/2025, 2:15:35 PM32 trades$259,14718 min
11/21/2025, 10:07:17 AM1 trades$224,7790 min
5/29/2025, 2:04:47 PM3 trades$210,0192 min
4/8/2026, 2:50:49 PM4 trades$200,0000 min
3/18/2026, 5:11:39 PM1 trades$199,9600 min
6/2/2025, 12:59:47 AM9 trades$193,67911 min
1/20/2025, 4:41:03 AM21 trades$189,72314 min
11/30/2024, 2:33:19 AM75 trades$187,41779 min
12/22/2024, 4:54:42 PM3 trades$182,7903 min
1/19/2025, 7:29:13 AM37 trades$172,44229 min
11/10/2024, 10:53:43 PM37 trades$168,85744 min
7/27/2024, 6:51:15 PM3 trades$167,1033 min
1/23/2026, 12:24:32 PM1 trades$165,0490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
10-15
02-11
06-15
10-01
01-30
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M4.1 / H93.8