scout

@scout

#85690

0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3

~431d· 874 markets · 18835 tradesVol: $49,367,182 @scout_pmkt2026-08-01 23:12:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (786/859)20/20
3.14x (win $422,256 / loss $134,544)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.89415/15
Sortino 5.91410/10
$+0.0070 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 134 (859 markets)10/10
277/310 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($38,692 / $307,545)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+235,791
DCA Master
Avg 18.7 entries/market
Whale
$41,044,265 invested
Consistent
277/310 profitable days
High Roller
$51,241/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
54 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#385$130,536Vol: $31,508,414
CRYPTO#1,146$36,313Vol: $6,220,370
🎭 CULTURE#231$32,642Vol: $4,646,125
💻 TECH#132$13,291Vol: $2,218,592
📈 ECONOMICS#549$11,881Vol: $1,804,594
💰 FINANCE#1,687$3,012Vol: $1,076,616
📢 MENTIONS#213$8,880Vol: $1,064,013
SPORTS#1,790,597$-470Vol: $591,174
🌤️ WEATHER#32,778$4Vol: $2,003

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$237,223
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$49,367,182
Total Redeem
$3,091,865
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
874
total markets
Trades
15559B / 3276S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~431d

Periods

#2
Today
$-853
Vol: $2,166
Week
$-7,550
Vol: $647,480
Month
$-853
Vol: $2,166
All Time
$237,223
Vol: $49,367,182

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
786W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$235,791
Win Rate
92%
786W / 73L
Profit Factor
3.14x
Avg Win
$537
Avg Loss
$-2,242

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $132,721 (0.562877752773974% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$75,647
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$36,284
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$20,790
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$13,094
Netanyahu out by March 31?$12,671
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$9,797
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$9,309
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$7,830
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$7,594
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7,132

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-38,692
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$-15,073
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-12,588
US military action against Iran by Sunday?$-9,147
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$-8,439
Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?$-6,344
US military action against Iran by Monday?$-6,270
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-4,634
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-4,327
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-3,529

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.151
Sortino
0.104
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.5%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.1m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 6.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)85.5%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 12:59:05 AM156 trades$1,793,05227 min
2/24/2026, 4:57:28 AM1 trades$988,9710 min
1/2/2026, 4:23:55 PM84 trades$943,31869 min
12/22/2025, 8:13:11 AM1 trades$928,2430 min
8/27/2025, 4:48:51 PM1 trades$826,3960 min
4/6/2026, 9:21:09 PM23 trades$612,31315 min
2/2/2026, 9:02:36 PM121 trades$600,00032 min
11/27/2025, 10:40:47 AM18 trades$550,00510 min
4/30/2026, 9:56:20 PM3 trades$530,0090 min
2/26/2026, 6:08:30 AM24 trades$513,05341 min
2/13/2026, 5:19:13 PM8 trades$470,5744 min
4/22/2026, 9:23:00 AM7 trades$398,8022 min
2/15/2026, 5:00:09 AM2 trades$339,4711 min
5/9/2026, 7:26:12 PM2 trades$327,7852 min
1/31/2026, 4:56:16 PM279 trades$322,43883 min
2/2/2026, 5:34:00 AM5 trades$299,4009 min
12/4/2025, 12:03:53 PM85 trades$295,33056 min
4/27/2026, 7:24:22 PM77 trades$281,61113 min
5/9/2026, 7:43:47 PM4 trades$271,0420 min
4/6/2026, 7:41:37 AM9 trades$270,4116 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
06-20
09-17
12-12
02-18
05-06
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M12.8 / H85.5