@sdregvh
#2,975,399290xd5707ff4ff6476f0ea344a46770c84b4436fb90a
~166d· 198 markets · 905 tradesVol: $154,1392026-09-10 22:06:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (106/193)12.5/20
0.88x (win $5,498 / loss $6,239)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8980/15
Sortino -1.1320/10
$-0.0275 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 155 (193 markets)10/10
60/116 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 1104% of peak ($2,412 / $218)0/10
Badges
3Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,607,449$-439Vol: $77,102
🎭 CULTURE#819,365$-681Vol: $44,002
📢 MENTIONS#3,780$242Vol: $21,878
⚽ SPORTS#1,787,618$-290Vol: $3,509
₿ CRYPTO#48,306$408Vol: $3,371
💻 TECH#233,995$-8Vol: $2,273
📈 ECONOMICS#34,505$14Vol: $505
🌤️ WEATHER#280,099$-43Vol: $379
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-945
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$154,139
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
198
total markets
Trades
646B / 259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d
Periods
#2Today
$-78
Vol: $979
Week
$-467
Vol: $3,290
Month
$-53
Vol: $5,133
All Time
$-945
Vol: $154,139
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
106W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-753
Win Rate
55%
106W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-73
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,094 (1.4535514043525632% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$525
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$292
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$277
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?$264
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$198
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$183
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?$135
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$130
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$122
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$120
Top Losers
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?$-540
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?$-320
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$-279
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during announcement today?$-270
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-253
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 6 straight weeks?$-242
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-236
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-196
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State$-189
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$-183
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
15.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1032s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)31%
High (>55c)57.3%
Sessions
#123/31/2026, 12:20:25 PM1 trades$7920 min
10/9/2025, 4:24:50 AM1 trades$7510 min
2/28/2026, 6:59:43 AM2 trades$6890 min
3/14/2026, 11:27:25 PM1 trades$5940 min
3/5/2026, 5:53:45 PM3 trades$5845 min
3/13/2026, 10:41:33 PM1 trades$5790 min
10/4/2025, 10:14:33 PM3 trades$5112 min
3/5/2026, 6:06:45 PM6 trades$5026 min
3/30/2026, 7:53:16 AM1 trades$4900 min
11/12/2025, 7:25:46 AM4 trades$4734 min
11/10/2025, 2:10:31 AM1 trades$4080 min
5/1/2026, 12:38:10 AM1 trades$3970 min
10/29/2025, 2:58:59 AM6 trades$3939 min
7/29/2026, 7:30:03 PM2 trades$3900 min
11/10/2025, 7:52:26 PM1 trades$3800 min
10/9/2025, 4:43:18 AM2 trades$3630 min
1/20/2026, 10:20:48 PM9 trades$3616 min
4/30/2026, 10:29:32 AM1 trades$3500 min
5/14/2026, 9:06:24 PM1 trades$3480 min
11/14/2025, 9:55:36 AM1 trades$3400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
11-01
12-10
02-25
03-31
05-24
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M31 / H57.3