@sebfil

#2,850,1116

0xee0bf18cb684b205e087fd709fef85503013ee40

~12d· 18 markets · 70 tradesVol: $43,5852026-08-26 09:56:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (1/10)0/20
0.05x (win $28 / loss $552)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2031 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1273 (10 markets)6.1/10
0/5 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($524 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,704$-397Vol: $42,454
🎭 CULTURE#72,525$9Vol: $1,131

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-388
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,585
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
32B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-49
Vol: $19,039
All Time
$-388
Vol: $43,585

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
1W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-337
Win Rate
10%
1W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (0.08214094876209702% of PnL)

Top Winners

Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?$28

Top Losers

Macron out in 2025?$-131
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?$-110
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?$-100
French election called by December 31?$-100
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$-50
Trump out as President by June 30?$-20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$-20
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?$-20
Macron out by October 31, 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-2.067
Sortino
-2.067
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.831
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
21%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 2.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)12.5%

Sessions

#12
1/24/2026, 9:39:28 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
8/8/2026, 5:48:36 AM29 trades$8712 min
7/8/2026, 4:07:29 PM7 trades$6070 min
1/25/2026, 5:07:42 AM5 trades$2206 min
11/5/2025, 9:40:51 PM2 trades$2003 min
4/5/2026, 8:24:35 PM6 trades$1981 min
4/5/2026, 7:48:59 PM9 trades$1833 min
11/5/2025, 8:37:35 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/2/2026, 2:42:26 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/15/2025, 4:49:49 PM1 trades$990 min
1/16/2025, 9:19:47 AM1 trades$810 min
3/8/2025, 8:32:59 AM1 trades$500 min
4/5/2026, 7:41:09 PM2 trades$500 min
1/29/2026, 5:25:42 AM1 trades$300 min
10/20/2025, 2:55:07 AM1 trades$100 min
10/15/2025, 9:25:41 AM1 trades$10 min
10/20/2025, 9:04:15 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
10-20
11-05
01-25
04-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75 / M12.5 / H12.5