@sebyastiens
#2,724,726350xbc62c8cb817e8fc17a265e821c1cd5923a254f5e
~39d· 86 markets · 221 tradesVol: $19,2392026-09-10 21:15:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (60/81)20/20
0.81x (win $504 / loss $619)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5130/15
Sortino -1.7090/10
$-0.0655 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1030 (81 markets)7.4/10
19/31 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($290 / $0)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 74%
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Consistent
19/31 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#21,397$99Vol: $15,203
🏛️ POLITICS#1,570,938$-183Vol: $2,112
⚽ SPORTS#180,340$42Vol: $1,135
💻 TECH#249,107$-26Vol: $506
💰 FINANCE#641,627$-100Vol: $308
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-168
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,239
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
112B / 109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$-16
Vol: $100
Week
$-4
Vol: $1,917
Month
$-0
Vol: $3,565
All Time
$-168
Vol: $19,239
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
60W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-150
Win Rate
74%
60W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $181 (1.2062762342594442% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$112
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$38
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$31
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$17
Top Losers
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$-176
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$-109
Grokipedia released by October 31?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$-63
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-36
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$-26
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$-16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-16
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
1255
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.064
Kelly %
39.3%
Half-Kelly
19.7%
Top-1 market
30%
Top-5 markets
61.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 764s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.68
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)65.2%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)29.5%
Sessions
#1211/5/2025, 6:29:25 AM2 trades$2242 min
11/5/2025, 2:23:17 AM1 trades$2190 min
11/10/2025, 6:45:43 AM1 trades$1200 min
11/4/2025, 5:10:03 PM1 trades$1050 min
11/4/2025, 6:33:33 AM2 trades$1022 min
10/27/2025, 2:49:45 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/9/2026, 4:27:02 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/4/2025, 4:51:55 PM1 trades$990 min
11/5/2025, 8:11:25 AM1 trades$910 min
11/5/2025, 8:21:01 AM1 trades$910 min
1/9/2026, 4:52:26 PM1 trades$760 min
11/4/2025, 3:29:53 PM2 trades$714 min
9/6/2026, 9:27:07 PM16 trades$690 min
10/28/2025, 2:36:27 AM1 trades$630 min
1/9/2026, 4:39:42 PM1 trades$550 min
11/7/2025, 2:28:35 PM1 trades$550 min
11/7/2025, 4:10:01 PM1 trades$550 min
10/30/2025, 6:00:03 PM1 trades$510 min
10/30/2025, 5:18:21 PM2 trades$502 min
11/26/2025, 3:00:37 AM2 trades$484 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-27
11-04
11-13
11-21
11-30
12-29
08-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.2 / M5.4 / H29.5