@shady416

#2,851,76864

0xafa618cf26eeea6314e10509227ef65f27e2a78b

~39d· 236 markets · 1011 tradesVol: $24,0522026-09-23 04:03:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (132/228)13.9/20
1.31x (win $1,139 / loss $867)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.37615/15
Sortino 5.72410/10
$+0.0657 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 143 (228 markets)10/10
17/32 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 82% of peak ($230 / $279)0/10

Badges

3
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#282,487$-72Vol: $3,931
🏛️ POLITICS#1,414,258$-27Vol: $3,823
₿ CRYPTO#1,335,596$-31Vol: $3,548
🎭 CULTURE#658,326$-6Vol: $3,534
⚽ SPORTS#1,707,052$-101Vol: $3,407
💰 FINANCE#605,235$-22Vol: $2,104
💻 TECH#240,541$-14Vol: $689
📈 ECONOMICS#482,547$-1Vol: $140
📢 MENTIONS#123,549$-6Vol: $76

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-325
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,052
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
236
total markets
Trades
752B / 259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Week
$-15
Vol: $159
Month
$-55
Vol: $8,060
All Time
$-325
Vol: $24,052

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
132W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$-314
Win Rate
58%
132W / 96L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $509 (1.6205237670447306% of PnL)

Top Winners

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?$316
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?$119
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$74
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?$69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$42
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$35
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of June 8 2026?$25
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$24

Top Losers

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.4B?$-52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 16?$-32
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 18?$-30
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?$-29
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?$-24
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.122
Sortino
0.236
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.069
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.4m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 277s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.07
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)65.6%

Sessions

#12
9/5/2026, 12:41:36 PM6 trades$5990 min
9/7/2026, 3:57:01 PM6 trades$4240 min
9/9/2026, 4:28:19 AM8 trades$4161 min
9/10/2026, 4:40:25 AM8 trades$4120 min
6/22/2026, 7:25:19 AM4 trades$2960 min
6/12/2026, 1:56:24 PM54 trades$2634 min
9/8/2026, 4:41:30 AM7 trades$2400 min
9/10/2026, 11:22:40 AM9 trades$2210 min
7/23/2026, 1:27:07 PM3 trades$2111 min
6/15/2026, 6:10:25 AM42 trades$2066 min
6/15/2026, 8:09:16 AM34 trades$1877 min
6/12/2026, 2:27:24 PM35 trades$1663 min
9/7/2026, 6:48:01 PM8 trades$1230 min
6/8/2026, 7:54:48 AM9 trades$10113 min
6/16/2026, 8:22:23 PM4 trades$730 min
6/7/2026, 4:17:22 PM7 trades$711 min
6/8/2026, 11:20:30 AM6 trades$694 min
6/8/2026, 6:35:13 PM3 trades$682 min
6/16/2026, 6:37:40 PM6 trades$657 min
9/8/2026, 6:52:57 PM7 trades$650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-12
06-17
06-26
07-06
07-20
08-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
42% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.9 / M12.5 / H65.6