@shota23

#126,33440

0x5cef924fce456e93f9c855afb3c3c83c5e9c2c1d

~100d· 2520 markets · 28154 tradesVol: $703,1262026-08-04 21:05:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (2122/2520)20/20
0.76x (win $1,234 / loss $1,625)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0540/15
Sortino -1.0660/10
$-0.0017 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 28 (2520 markets)10/10
86/99 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 750% of peak ($674 / $90)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+411
DCA Master
Avg 11.2 entries/market
Whale
$232,050 invested
Consistent
86/99 profitable days
High Roller
$1,611/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#2,548$510Vol: $683,865
CRYPTO#1,465,131$-99Vol: $19,261

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$703,126
Total Redeem
$79
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2520
total markets
Trades
18655B / 9499S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $4,448
Week
$9
Vol: $12,395
Month
$18
Vol: $17,056
All Time
$411
Vol: $703,126

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
2122W / 398L events
Realized PnL
$411
Win Rate
84%
2122W / 398L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30 (0.07290932510268062% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on June 11?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$9
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 17?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$8
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 28?$8
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 13?$8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on June 5?$7

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?$-689
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$-42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-34
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.055
Sortino
-0.021
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
195.5
Very active
Markets / Day
17.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
92 min
Avg Trades / Session
160.7

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 0.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock196 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)94.2%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 3:14:43 PM370 trades$3,452190 min
6/7/2026, 6:42:34 PM278 trades$3,396149 min
5/13/2026, 11:05:09 AM265 trades$3,190148 min
4/27/2026, 3:01:40 AM285 trades$3,045158 min
5/9/2026, 9:58:02 PM288 trades$2,942154 min
5/8/2026, 5:30:18 AM305 trades$2,889173 min
4/25/2026, 2:13:30 AM258 trades$2,854132 min
5/11/2026, 2:16:32 AM214 trades$2,598113 min
6/8/2026, 1:31:46 PM206 trades$2,564105 min
5/10/2026, 5:55:31 AM208 trades$2,130125 min
6/13/2026, 2:27:40 PM168 trades$2,06795 min
5/7/2026, 6:16:17 PM213 trades$2,065112 min
6/14/2026, 11:05:03 AM163 trades$2,04849 min
4/24/2026, 9:18:38 AM196 trades$2,002116 min
5/14/2026, 6:53:57 AM181 trades$1,97689 min
5/7/2026, 3:40:44 AM194 trades$1,936112 min
5/8/2026, 10:46:26 PM163 trades$1,83892 min
6/16/2026, 11:15:34 AM155 trades$1,76872 min
6/10/2026, 6:56:37 PM137 trades$1,74782 min
6/13/2026, 8:11:58 PM124 trades$1,71372 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
03-29
05-06
06-04
06-20
07-07
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 79 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M4.6 / H94.2