@shroudvader

#166,85690

0xbd7387cc09d32bd8f7644be95e7b20a2de6b2e72

~92d· 555 markets · 2283 tradesVol: $43,8572026-08-23 15:18:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (455/555)20/20
1.91x (win $460 / loss $241)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.88415/15
Sortino 15.96710/10
$+0.0254 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 86 (555 markets)10/10
69/87 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($24 / $220)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+226
Consistent
69/87 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#4,644$226Vol: $43,857

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$226
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,857
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
555
total markets
Trades
1006B / 1277S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $263
Week
$33
Vol: $263
Month
$174
Vol: $18,698
All Time
$226
Vol: $43,857

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
455W / 100L events
Realized PnL
$226
Win Rate
82%
455W / 100L
Profit Factor
1.91x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $71 (0.3168698736422079% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 1?$36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 11?$26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 3?$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?$9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?$9
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 11?$8
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 3?$8
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 11?$7
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$7
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 14?$7

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 1?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?$-12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on April 4?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 11?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 2?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 12?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.410
Sortino
0.527
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
53.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3190s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active3.8 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)98.3%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 1:04:31 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
8/17/2026, 5:12:39 PM2 trades$1530 min
8/21/2026, 12:11:16 AM2 trades$1520 min
8/21/2026, 11:41:15 PM2 trades$1520 min
8/11/2026, 11:12:55 PM2 trades$1210 min
8/15/2026, 3:17:30 PM2 trades$1210 min
8/12/2026, 9:00:24 AM2 trades$1200 min
8/12/2026, 6:43:22 PM2 trades$1200 min
8/20/2026, 10:55:28 PM3 trades$1110 min
8/3/2026, 8:13:59 AM2 trades$970 min
8/5/2026, 10:03:17 AM2 trades$930 min
8/5/2026, 5:07:39 PM2 trades$910 min
8/3/2026, 4:53:35 PM2 trades$910 min
7/11/2026, 9:07:07 AM5 trades$901 min
8/2/2026, 6:04:06 AM2 trades$900 min
7/31/2026, 10:51:26 AM2 trades$900 min
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM2 trades$900 min
8/9/2026, 11:10:25 AM2 trades$900 min
7/31/2026, 8:30:57 AM4 trades$890 min
8/9/2026, 9:05:34 AM2 trades$890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-28
05-12
06-13
07-03
07-20
08-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M0.5 / H98.3