@shukicarpenter

#292,84827

0x7cb68272ff8a6df6c7b01b4825b8f4e6382aa366

~51d· 313 markets · 3100 tradesVol: $35,4192026-09-23 04:03:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (107/201)11.6/20
0.92x (win $1,703 / loss $1,842)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8700/15
Sortino -1.5540/10
$-0.0097 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 271 (201 markets)10/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 165% of peak ($626 / $380)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 13.8 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#163,819$11Vol: $12,769
📈 ECONOMICS#8,455$190Vol: $9,882
⚽ SPORTS#198,249$30Vol: $4,532
💰 FINANCE#635,126$-81Vol: $2,503
🌤️ WEATHER#261,075$-20Vol: $1,897
🎭 CULTURE#705,200$-13Vol: $1,378
₿ CRYPTO#1,359,278$-37Vol: $979
💻 TECH#236,469$-10Vol: $429

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$55
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,419
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
313
total markets
Trades
1536B / 1564S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$14
Vol: $0
Month
$640
Vol: $1,563
All Time
$55
Vol: $35,419

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
107W / 94L events
Realized PnL
$-233
Win Rate
53%
107W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $787 (3.3721996144784754% of PnL)

Top Winners

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$348
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$260
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$180
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$120
Will Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?$81
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$74
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$58
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$34

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-221
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-165
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-158
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-101
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-91
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-79
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-72
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?$-65
Will Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?$-59
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.091
HHI
75
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
16%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.81
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)56.4%

Sessions

#12
8/20/2026, 2:42:36 AM90 trades$2,89826 min
8/21/2026, 5:02:55 AM34 trades$1,0457 min
8/21/2026, 10:33:30 AM18 trades$1,0054 min
8/21/2026, 8:17:30 AM10 trades$5300 min
8/24/2026, 7:07:10 AM9 trades$5011 min
8/24/2026, 8:11:16 AM9 trades$4991 min
8/24/2026, 9:17:12 AM8 trades$4971 min
8/16/2026, 11:54:43 PM10 trades$4580 min
8/21/2026, 12:46:22 PM8 trades$4561 min
8/21/2026, 11:40:48 AM11 trades$4560 min
8/21/2026, 10:27:49 AM11 trades$4300 min
8/24/2026, 7:11:54 PM6 trades$3870 min
7/14/2026, 8:50:43 AM99 trades$36212 min
8/21/2026, 9:22:27 AM7 trades$3530 min
8/21/2026, 7:11:27 AM8 trades$3471 min
8/21/2026, 6:06:19 AM11 trades$3090 min
7/12/2026, 11:08:31 PM122 trades$3037 min
7/14/2026, 2:27:56 PM100 trades$28410 min
7/12/2026, 11:56:37 PM102 trades$2633 min
7/16/2026, 2:00:16 PM2 trades$2370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
04-18
05-13
05-31
06-09
07-06
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.4 / M30.1 / H56.4