@sietechips

20

0x78b00985bb1c60955a6b6db8fddf857b16f69f1a

~63d· 241 markets · 2631 trades2026-09-10 21:15:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (107/235)7.8/20
0.76x (win $271,848 / loss $356,839)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6560/15
Sortino -5.1690/10
$-0.1986 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 79 (235 markets)10/10
21/54 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 842% of peak ($101,930 / $12,111)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Whale
$427,970 invested
High Roller
$3,926/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-30,125
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$427,970
Total Redeem
$13,663
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
241
total markets
Trades
438B / 2193S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
107W / 128L events
Realized PnL
$-30,125
Win Rate
46%
107W / 128L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$2,541
Avg Loss
$-2,855

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,567 (0.7822872569785725% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5$9,557
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$7,094
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$6,916
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5$6,364
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$5,963
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5$5,639
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5$5,638
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$5,455
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5$5,281
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5$4,500

Top Losers

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5$-10,000
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5$-10,000
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5$-8,150
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$-7,089
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$-7,000
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5$-7,000
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5$-7,000
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$-6,976
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5$-6,940
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5$-6,917

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.241
Sortino
-0.278
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.202
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 223s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity24 trades/day — high frequency2.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.37
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)73.3%
High (>55c)22.6%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 12:21:25 PM102 trades$35,5144 min
6/10/2026, 10:30:52 PM63 trades$34,3278 min
7/6/2026, 9:01:20 PM87 trades$20,82223 min
6/13/2026, 5:26:12 PM33 trades$19,6252 min
5/10/2026, 5:16:58 PM54 trades$18,5147 min
6/16/2026, 10:58:26 PM13 trades$16,9416 min
5/7/2026, 1:09:37 AM23 trades$14,0872 min
6/9/2026, 6:02:48 PM26 trades$13,9740 min
5/3/2026, 4:02:28 PM61 trades$13,7024 min
6/10/2026, 7:05:03 PM10 trades$13,6871 min
4/25/2026, 10:03:02 PM29 trades$13,6508 min
6/17/2026, 8:44:37 PM27 trades$13,0020 min
5/10/2026, 10:05:12 PM13 trades$12,4455 min
6/17/2026, 8:05:17 PM2 trades$12,2680 min
8/8/2026, 11:05:48 PM2 trades$11,3520 min
4/26/2026, 8:03:36 PM14 trades$11,0711 min
4/29/2026, 1:16:04 AM18 trades$10,9731 min
6/6/2026, 5:17:28 PM30 trades$10,5781 min
6/7/2026, 11:05:13 PM2 trades$10,4170 min
4/28/2026, 9:44:26 PM18 trades$10,1236 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-04
05-13
06-09
06-19
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
83.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.37/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L4.1 / M73.3 / H22.6