@sitdownontopme

#2,975,15428

0x8720bb7e71c33da9312ed5b53356343484fb02ad

~38d· 663 markets · 7203 tradesVol: $105,1492026-09-23 04:03:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (341/648)11.3/20
0.98x (win $5,109 / loss $5,218)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5530/15
Sortino -0.8350/10
$-0.0033 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 27 (648 markets)10/10
17/37 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 152% of peak ($940 / $620)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,605,821$-357Vol: $72,645
🏛️ POLITICS#1,563,649$-184Vol: $16,646
SPORTS#1,793,388$-262Vol: $15,048
🌤️ WEATHER#259,559$-19Vol: $809

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-822
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,149
Total Redeem
$82
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
663
total markets
Trades
5064B / 2139S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-52
Vol: $0
Month
$-76
Vol: $14,467
All Time
$-822
Vol: $105,149

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
341W / 307L events
Realized PnL
$-611
Win Rate
53%
341W / 307L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $496 (0.812142938990653% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$264
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$116
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$116
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$107
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$103
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$78

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-200
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-168
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$-156
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$-154
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$-118
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-97
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-93
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-89
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$-85
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$-83

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.029
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
30 min
Avg Trades / Session
125.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
53% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency3.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)38.4%
High (>55c)58.5%

Sessions

#12
2/16/2026, 2:29:25 PM768 trades$4,310179 min
2/15/2026, 7:48:55 PM603 trades$3,097146 min
2/16/2026, 7:26:11 AM466 trades$2,547107 min
2/13/2026, 9:17:15 PM806 trades$2,409174 min
2/15/2026, 5:46:11 PM447 trades$2,291116 min
2/16/2026, 5:40:23 AM348 trades$2,09979 min
2/16/2026, 10:20:45 AM300 trades$1,64598 min
2/15/2026, 11:15:33 PM259 trades$1,15251 min
2/16/2026, 1:04:33 PM177 trades$1,11255 min
2/17/2026, 4:31:25 PM206 trades$1,06037 min
2/15/2026, 10:20:45 PM169 trades$87448 min
2/16/2026, 12:22:01 PM136 trades$74337 min
2/16/2026, 3:19:17 AM156 trades$70753 min
9/13/2026, 4:20:48 PM112 trades$6829 min
2/16/2026, 12:12:15 AM122 trades$64448 min
2/16/2026, 5:25:03 AM60 trades$5709 min
2/16/2026, 4:54:01 AM60 trades$50518 min
2/16/2026, 5:56:59 PM105 trades$50221 min
2/16/2026, 1:05:03 AM85 trades$48719 min
2/16/2026, 4:22:45 AM52 trades$4357 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
02-17
03-04
03-10
03-16
03-22
03-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M38.4 / H58.5