@sizzlehorse

#1,758,00214

0x63ab1e0b580c3f4769ac2bb1b83ea36534b2acf4

~27d· 68 markets · 84 tradesVol: $1,0042026-08-26 09:15:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (33/68)9.3/20
0.90x (win $56 / loss $62)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2300/15
Sortino -2.0310/10
$-0.0355 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1726 (68 markets)3.9/10
7/26 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 131% of peak ($26 / $20)0/10

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,222,345$-14Vol: $381
🏛️ POLITICS#169,426$10Vol: $304
📈 ECONOMICS#594,742$-8Vol: $260
💰 FINANCE#456,314$-1Vol: $22
📢 MENTIONS#40,594$1Vol: $18
SPORTS#361,560$4Vol: $17
🌤️ WEATHER#66,543$1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,004
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
71B / 13S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $251
All Time
$-8
Vol: $1,004

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
33W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
49%
33W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (3.0774278215223094% of PnL)

Top Winners

US government shutdown Saturday?$10
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (January 11)$4
Oregon vs. Indiana$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 12?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$2
Miami vs. Indiana$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-5
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-4
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-3
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 11?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.063
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
255
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
23.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 378s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.24
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)50.7%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 11:41:57 PM2 trades$1430 min
8/12/2026, 12:23:03 PM14 trades$282 min
1/29/2026, 12:36:34 PM1 trades$200 min
1/27/2026, 12:19:57 PM2 trades$100 min
3/2/2026, 4:47:33 PM1 trades$100 min
3/6/2026, 4:44:15 PM1 trades$100 min
1/6/2026, 4:39:45 PM5 trades$96 min
2/17/2026, 6:11:49 PM4 trades$74 min
2/18/2026, 5:11:40 PM2 trades$73 min
2/11/2026, 6:24:59 PM2 trades$62 min
2/28/2026, 1:33:45 AM2 trades$62 min
3/2/2026, 4:53:09 PM1 trades$60 min
1/6/2026, 2:06:03 PM5 trades$58 min
1/12/2026, 1:17:38 PM4 trades$56 min
1/12/2026, 5:14:27 PM1 trades$50 min
1/29/2026, 5:24:54 PM1 trades$50 min
2/11/2026, 5:53:45 PM1 trades$50 min
2/28/2026, 1:42:17 AM1 trades$50 min
3/7/2026, 4:51:13 PM1 trades$50 min
3/13/2026, 3:35:51 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-31
02-16
02-28
03-06
03-16
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 195 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.7 / M29.6 / H50.7