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sleepy-panda

@sleepy-panda

#72630

0xa49becb692927d455924583b5e3e5788246f4c40

594d· 5356 markets · 24249 tradesVol: $157,928,8892026-06-12T07:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.00x0/15
HHI 6910/10
Profit Days 7%0/10

Summary

Sleepy-panda is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #726 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 446 days, they have executed 24,249 trades across 356 markets, generating a net profit of $234,303.45 from a total trading volume of nearly $158 million. Despite this sizeable profit, sleepy-panda’s overall smart score is below average at 30/100, reflecting mixed performance metrics, including a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.88 and a low win rate of 27.8%.

The trading style of sleepy-panda appears to be high-frequency and high-volume, with a very low sell percentage of 1%, suggesting a strong tendency to hold positions rather than frequently exit. The trader’s profile indicates a semi-automated approach, combining bot and manual trades, which aligns with their “Sniper” and “Diamond Hands” badges. Sleepy-panda does not engage in weather markets and maintains an upward equity trend, implying disciplined portfolio growth despite a low profit factor of 0.00 and a relatively short max drawdown duration.

Key strengths for sleepy-panda include consistent incremental profits and the ability to maintain portfolio value over time, supported by an equity trend that is steadily rising. However, the trader’s low win rate and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight potential vulnerabilities, such as exposure to significant volatility or suboptimal trade timing. Sleepy-panda’s semi-bot strategy may offer efficiency but also carries risks related to automated decision-making in highly dynamic Polymarket environments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+234,303
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
68 wins in a row
Whale
$21,785,607
High Roller
$48,847/day

Categories

9
SPORTS#221$338,359Vol: $140,069,685
📈 ECONOMICS#656,238$-214,780Vol: $9,936,984
🏛️ POLITICS#1,594,594$-78,364Vol: $4,519,018
🎭 CULTURE#787,185$-705Vol: $865,350
💻 TECH#590$2,670Vol: $522,505
CRYPTO#23,623$1,444Vol: $512,189
📢 MENTIONS#167,069$-3,121Vol: $90,753
🌤️ WEATHER#43,101$2Vol: $1,654
💰 FINANCE#116,429$1Vol: $1,194

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$234,303
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$157,928,889
Total Redeem
$2,515,847
Portfolio
$42,565
Predictions
5356
total markets
Trades
23996B / 253S
Daily Volume
$48,847
Account Age
594d
since Nov 15, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-400
Vol: $0
Week
$1,681
Vol: $228,880
Month
$-7,358
Vol: $851,945
All Time
$234,303
Vol: $157,928,889

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
248W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$13,488,368
Win Rate
28%
97W / 252L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$804
Avg Loss
$-76,411

Top Winners

Packers vs. Cowboys$48,142
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?$21,613
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?$4,255
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,191
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$976
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$293
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Straww$130
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, $111
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?$100
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelim$90

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-372,984
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$-365,801
Oregon vs. Washington$-350,327
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?$-316,490
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$-316,112
Vikings vs. Browns$-272,898
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-266,548
Warriors vs. Lakers$-264,885
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?$-261,963
Bears vs. Eagles$-247,517

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.882
Sortino
-0.880
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.882
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.8
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — typical for humanSize CV 4.95 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.82 — human randomness55 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
67.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
29 entries
<=2
46 entries
<=5
72 entries
<=10
106 entries
<=20
148 entries
<=50
217 entries
>50
139 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)32.3%
High (>55c)57.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 73%

Chicago$38
Los Angeles$20
Miami$-19,786
Milan$-108,089
Toronto$-222,227
Paris$-381,307
Houston$-477,812
Madrid$-809,569
Other$-17,158,870

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
307

Single bracket

<=1
281 brackets
<=2
293 brackets
<=3
301 brackets
<=4
304 brackets
<=5
307 brackets
<=8
307 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/24/2025, 10:23:54 PM1 trades$580 min
3/25/2025, 12:13:42 AM1 trades$590 min
3/25/2025, 3:40:52 AM1 trades$590 min
3/25/2025, 4:48:50 AM1 trades$290 min
3/25/2025, 8:41:45 AM1 trades$140 min
3/27/2025, 6:41:52 PM2 trades$5,1101 min
3/27/2025, 7:30:06 PM1 trades$3090 min
3/27/2025, 7:53:32 PM2 trades$2530 min
3/27/2025, 8:24:12 PM1 trades$7,3390 min
3/27/2025, 8:46:32 PM1 trades$3,7000 min
3/27/2025, 9:26:16 PM2 trades$29,1993 min
3/27/2025, 10:13:04 PM1 trades$1460 min
3/27/2025, 10:44:26 PM2 trades$14,8000 min
3/27/2025, 10:51:56 PM2 trades$1,6653 min
3/27/2025, 11:14:28 PM1 trades$7,5000 min
3/27/2025, 11:20:22 PM1 trades$7,5000 min
3/27/2025, 11:31:26 PM1 trades$7,5000 min
3/27/2025, 11:37:38 PM1 trades$3,7500 min
3/28/2025, 12:40:22 AM1 trades$36,0000 min
3/28/2025, 1:14:29 AM2 trades$2770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
06-14
09-17
11-07
12-23
02-23
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 67.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event