Polydata
sleepy-panda

@sleepy-panda

#54175

0xa49becb692927d455924583b5e3e5788246f4c40

596d· 5434 markets · 23701 tradesVol: $171,134,6482026-07-03T07:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.06x0/15
Sharpe 0.87115/15
Sortino 82451464.98110/10
HHI 7210/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Sleepy-panda is an experienced and active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #541 on the global PnL leaderboard. With a net PnL of approximately $355,000 and a total trading volume exceeding $171 million across 23,701 trades, sleepy-panda has demonstrated consistent engagement over 471 days. Their portfolio value stands at around $326,000, and their smart score of 75/100 signals very good trading acumen.

The trading style of sleepy-panda appears to be high-volume and diversified, with activity in 287 markets but a relatively low win rate of 13.8%, suggesting a strategy that may rely on frequent trades with small gains or selective timing rather than consistent outright wins. Their risk profile is moderate, reflected by a Sharpe ratio of 0.87 and a profit factor of 0.06, indicating that while profits have been made, the overall profitability per unit of risk is modest. Sleepy-panda seldom sells positions (only 2%), implying a tendency toward holding rather than quick flips, and their bot score suggests a semi-automated approach blending manual trades with algorithmic assistance.

Key strengths for sleepy-panda include a stable equity trend and zero-day max drawdown duration, which points to effective risk management and capital preservation. However, the low win rate and profit factor highlight potential concerns regarding the efficiency of their trades. Despite a strong smart score and badges recognizing precision and resilience, sleepy-panda’s strategy may expose them to prolonged periods of low returns or stagnation, making ongoing monitoring valuable for traders following their activity on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+355,069
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
Whale
$20,823,062
Consistent
175/177 days
High Roller
$44,210/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
SPORTS#226$460,013Vol: $152,551,100
📈 ECONOMICS#668,397$-216,171Vol: $10,310,461
🏛️ POLITICS#1,615,267$-77,862Vol: $4,869,885
🎭 CULTURE#796,076$-705Vol: $865,350
💻 TECH#612$2,670Vol: $522,505
CRYPTO#24,323$1,444Vol: $512,189
📢 MENTIONS#169,823$-3,121Vol: $90,753
🌤️ WEATHER#44,627$2Vol: $1,654
💰 FINANCE#121,567$1Vol: $1,194

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$355,069
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$171,134,648
Total Redeem
$3,728,276
Portfolio
$326,587
Predictions
5434
total markets
Trades
23253B / 448S
Daily Volume
$44,210
Account Age
596d
since Nov 15, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-5,178
Vol: $138,666
Week
$346,948
Vol: $2,526,615
Month
$272,350
Vol: $1,448,035
All Time
$355,069
Vol: $171,134,648

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
245W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$14,601,846
Win Rate
14%
37W / 231L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$28,206
Avg Loss
$-74,734

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$342,427
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$215,246
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$176,000
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance$101,477
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$73,023
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, $66,329
Packers vs. Cowboys$48,142
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Car$10,661
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$4,147
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance$3,193

Top Losers

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?$-316,490
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$-315,872
Vikings vs. Browns$-272,898
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-266,548
Warriors vs. Lakers$-264,885
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?$-261,963
Bears vs. Eagles$-239,993
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$-236,091
Oregon vs. Washington$-235,787
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?$-235,357

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.871
Sortino
inf
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.804
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 5.41 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.83 — human randomness51 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
81
Heavy DCA
<=1
17 entries
<=2
28 entries
<=5
45 entries
<=10
67 entries
<=20
99 entries
<=50
166 entries
>50
121 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)33%
High (>55c)52.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.6%

Paris$-15,532
Miami$-19,786
Milan$-108,089
Houston$-477,812
Madrid$-809,580
Other$-14,789,194

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
275

Single bracket

<=1
266 brackets
<=2
272 brackets
<=3
275 brackets
<=4
275 brackets
<=5
275 brackets
<=8
275 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/21/2025, 4:41:23 PM1 trades$3650 min
3/21/2025, 8:21:39 PM3 trades$7623 min
3/21/2025, 8:39:05 PM2 trades$3703 min
3/21/2025, 8:50:15 PM1 trades$590 min
3/21/2025, 9:07:39 PM1 trades$5910 min
3/22/2025, 12:02:02 AM1 trades$3700 min
3/22/2025, 12:15:10 AM1 trades$2220 min
3/22/2025, 1:48:13 AM11 trades$39,00021 min
3/22/2025, 3:27:47 AM2 trades$11 min
3/24/2025, 10:23:54 PM1 trades$580 min
3/25/2025, 12:13:42 AM1 trades$590 min
3/25/2025, 3:40:52 AM1 trades$590 min
3/25/2025, 4:48:50 AM1 trades$290 min
3/25/2025, 8:41:45 AM1 trades$140 min
3/27/2025, 6:41:52 PM2 trades$5,1101 min
3/27/2025, 7:30:06 PM1 trades$3090 min
3/27/2025, 7:53:32 PM2 trades$2530 min
3/27/2025, 8:24:12 PM1 trades$7,3390 min
3/27/2025, 8:46:32 PM1 trades$3,7000 min
3/27/2025, 9:26:16 PM2 trades$29,1993 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-05
09-07
10-24
12-14
02-17
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 81/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event