smarttradder

@smarttradder

#3,064,05629

0xea2837f7e7c552a4e34045fa206f97ffc50f3a0b

~310d· 2742 markets · 51455 tradesVol: $3,022,6772026-08-06 07:07:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (1231/2241)12.5/20
0.86x (win $45,758 / loss $53,433)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0900/15
Sortino -1.3710/10
$-0.0080 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 22 (2241 markets)10/10
148/274 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 295729% of peak ($13,929 / $5)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 21.1 entries/market
Whale
$961,930 invested
High Roller
$1,721/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,867$-1,804Vol: $1,129,468
SPORTS#1,875,945$-5,602Vol: $869,543
CRYPTO#1,666,725$-4,130Vol: $616,469
🎭 CULTURE#740,205$-28Vol: $153,409
💰 FINANCE#644,577$-242Vol: $113,268
📈 ECONOMICS#673,762$-340Vol: $95,956
💻 TECH#242,969$-41Vol: $11,698
🌤️ WEATHER#227,704$-5Vol: $4,952
📢 MENTIONS#20,354$9Vol: $1,070

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,022,677
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2742
total markets
Trades
37500B / 13955S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~310d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $2,082
Week
$-22
Vol: $17,535
Month
$-98
Vol: $23,456
All Time
$-12,209
Vol: $3,022,677

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
1230W / 1010L events
Realized PnL
$-12,258
Win Rate
55%
1230W / 1010L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,272 (0.5116603686154729% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,829
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2,038
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1,405
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,293
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,086
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1,082
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,008
Knicks vs. Kings$951
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$844
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$800

Top Losers

Bucks vs. Lakers$-3,514
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,289
Cavaliers vs. Kings$-2,187
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,998
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-1,060
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-1,032
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-957
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-952
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-840
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-826

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
92.0
Very active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.5m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
59 min
Avg Trades / Session
71.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock92 trades/day — mass trading4.9 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)27%
High (>55c)46.1%

Sessions

#12
1/13/2026, 2:37:51 AM225 trades$9,602122 min
2/14/2025, 3:10:55 PM14 trades$6,87725 min
2/28/2025, 3:17:19 PM3 trades$6,5714 min
4/28/2026, 2:22:46 PM58 trades$4,18063 min
3/14/2026, 12:53:23 PM261 trades$3,863205 min
3/15/2026, 5:08:37 PM135 trades$3,172133 min
3/14/2026, 4:49:37 AM133 trades$3,134129 min
2/2/2025, 1:24:56 PM51 trades$3,09352 min
3/11/2025, 4:25:27 AM3 trades$3,0300 min
3/15/2026, 3:15:13 PM127 trades$2,986107 min
2/23/2025, 11:09:34 PM95 trades$2,79188 min
2/27/2025, 3:01:10 PM3 trades$2,7592 min
3/14/2026, 7:04:27 AM145 trades$2,712123 min
2/8/2025, 10:25:10 AM117 trades$2,70257 min
3/13/2026, 4:27:33 PM210 trades$2,669116 min
3/11/2026, 7:32:29 AM188 trades$2,635143 min
1/25/2025, 6:50:57 AM52 trades$2,50529 min
1/25/2025, 8:46:47 AM41 trades$2,49828 min
2/2/2025, 2:41:37 PM26 trades$2,47236 min
1/18/2026, 1:28:20 AM78 trades$2,33668 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
03-11
12-23
02-16
04-09
06-11
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 517 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M27 / H46.1