stalllion

@stalllion

#3,087,6490

0x0213419f10a3803af3f585d39e415b5372b782f6

~15d· 35 markets · 182 tradesVol: $91,4772026-09-10 21:12:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (3/14)0/20
0.03x (win $114 / loss $3,465)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2616 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3352 (14 markets)0/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 35712% of peak ($3,361 / $9)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,697,034$-2,629Vol: $31,886
💰 FINANCE#654,047$-260Vol: $25,305
🏛️ POLITICS#1,617,834$-616Vol: $17,197
⚽ SPORTS#142,787$73Vol: $6,065
💻 TECH#265,908$-324Vol: $4,732
🎭 CULTURE#7,921$518Vol: $1,324
📢 MENTIONS#165,618$-85Vol: $455

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,396
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$91,477
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
79B / 103S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-34
Vol: $1,396
Week
$-228
Vol: $21,539
Month
$-424
Vol: $28,279
All Time
$-3,396
Vol: $91,477

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
3W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-3,265
Win Rate
21%
3W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-347

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114 (0.03496944729466898% of PnL)

Top Winners

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$87
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$17
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$9

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$-1,565
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$-896
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-438
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $-281
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$-183
CME list sports event contracts by December 31?$-74
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$-2
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.635
Sortino
-0.554
HHI
2080
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.313
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36%
Top-5 markets
78.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 622s — normal for humanCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.4%
High (>55c)38%

Sessions

#12
12/22/2025, 7:28:59 PM2 trades$3,1302 min
12/19/2025, 12:25:45 AM4 trades$2,9146 min
12/19/2025, 10:44:25 PM1 trades$2,5340 min
12/20/2025, 11:25:25 PM8 trades$2,47513 min
12/20/2025, 11:46:15 PM2 trades$2,2550 min
12/19/2025, 11:35:26 AM1 trades$1,4750 min
12/18/2025, 6:18:05 PM11 trades$1,1404 min
9/2/2026, 11:52:45 PM10 trades$5420 min
12/19/2025, 8:34:01 PM1 trades$5410 min
12/18/2025, 6:52:45 PM1 trades$5300 min
9/7/2026, 12:03:04 PM11 trades$4034 min
9/5/2026, 10:39:04 PM9 trades$3740 min
9/2/2026, 8:45:13 PM5 trades$3250 min
9/6/2026, 4:38:58 AM6 trades$3220 min
9/4/2026, 8:05:48 AM8 trades$2710 min
9/4/2026, 1:24:00 AM9 trades$2670 min
12/18/2025, 3:32:51 PM1 trades$2090 min
12/18/2025, 1:52:50 PM1 trades$2000 min
9/6/2026, 10:34:34 AM1 trades$2000 min
12/18/2025, 5:48:26 AM1 trades$1990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
12-19
12-20
12-22
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.6 / M35.4 / H38