@stavr
#2,878,108760x5c22ffa6212e28591ad30e82894c5ef46d74e4db
~95d· 95 markets · 1018 tradesVol: $573,7522026-09-23 04:05:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (40/73)12.4/20
11.35x (win $77,787 / loss $6,856)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.67015/15
Sortino 60.02310/10
$+1.7995 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2926 (73 markets)0/10
12/26 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($5,740 / $70,931)10/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.4 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,723$-322Vol: $568,474
⚽ SPORTS#203,669$27Vol: $4,489
₿ CRYPTO#1,209,369$-15Vol: $534
📢 MENTIONS#147,603$-21Vol: $148
💰 FINANCE#379,671$-0Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-390
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$573,752
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
589B / 429S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d
Periods
#2Today
$-36
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,674
Vol: $6,943
Month
$-4,774
Vol: $81,061
All Time
$-390
Vol: $573,752
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
40W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-1,629
Win Rate
55%
40W / 33L
Profit Factor
11.35x
Avg Win
$1,945
Avg Loss
$-229
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $75,884 (46.5854149656523% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$72,158
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$2,332
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,395
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$1,146
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$519
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$108
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$75
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$6
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-4,150
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-816
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$-600
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$-557
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$-286
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$-174
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-110
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-107
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?$-16
Spread: England (-2.5)$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.188
Sortino
2.283
HHI
797
Moderate
EV per $1
$2.524
Kelly %
47.3%
Half-Kelly
23.7%
Top-1 market
20.2%
Top-5 markets
56.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 5.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.38
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)43.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.7%
High (>55c)46%
Sessions
#125/9/2026, 6:03:32 AM12 trades$14,8641 min
2/11/2026, 5:10:55 PM2 trades$9,7001 min
5/4/2026, 3:50:44 PM21 trades$5,8920 min
5/10/2026, 7:42:30 AM14 trades$5,5780 min
7/20/2026, 8:49:27 AM7 trades$5,3291 min
6/30/2026, 7:37:41 PM17 trades$4,6583 min
4/11/2026, 12:53:09 PM11 trades$3,7290 min
4/10/2026, 11:24:55 AM2 trades$3,1110 min
4/1/2026, 7:55:07 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/26/2026, 12:44:44 PM14 trades$2,4340 min
4/21/2026, 7:54:36 PM20 trades$2,4186 min
7/24/2026, 11:35:21 AM12 trades$2,0754 min
4/25/2026, 10:56:32 AM2 trades$1,9230 min
7/21/2026, 8:05:45 PM6 trades$1,5290 min
5/8/2026, 4:07:23 PM4 trades$1,3510 min
7/17/2026, 12:57:39 PM2 trades$1,0800 min
7/13/2026, 7:46:25 PM1 trades$9220 min
2/11/2026, 2:40:41 PM1 trades$9000 min
6/21/2026, 9:44:58 AM10 trades$8751 min
2/20/2026, 8:36:04 PM1 trades$8000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-26
03-28
04-26
06-08
06-27
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 64 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.3 / M10.7 / H46