@stephenlyk1

#3,074,56614

0x3d670d083c0f940a42ec9e75d4cf80f9ede77dac

~59d· 262 markets · 1632 tradesVol: $805,0392026-08-25 21:45:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (120/259)8.2/20
0.03x (win $1,384 / loss $43,442)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3170/15
Sortino -5.9990/10
$-0.9838 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1398 (259 markets)5.5/10
14/43 profitable days (33%)0.6/10
Max DD 2012241% of peak ($42,257 / $2)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
8% sells
DCA Master
Avg 7.7 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,853,680$-1,322Vol: $774,675
CRYPTO#1,683,258$-2,867Vol: $27,567
🏛️ POLITICS#1,566,119$-184Vol: $1,612
📈 ECONOMICS#16,725$60Vol: $1,000
🎭 CULTURE#125,349$2Vol: $100
🌤️ WEATHER#271,581$-30Vol: $85

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,340
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$805,039
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
262
total markets
Trades
1507B / 125S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$-44
Vol: $0
Week
$-104
Vol: $0
Month
$-949
Vol: $34,400
All Time
$-4,340
Vol: $805,039

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
120W / 139L events
Realized PnL
$-3,720
Win Rate
46%
120W / 139L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-322

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $745 (0.20040162585889867% of PnL)

Top Winners

France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5$360
England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$197
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 24?$188
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 26?$139
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 28?$137
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$60
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6?$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$9

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,661
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,897
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,536
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,305
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,964
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,951
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,857
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-402
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?$-400
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 22?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.327
Sortino
-0.271
HHI
3700
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.597
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35%
Top-5 markets
122.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.4m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 4.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.75
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)54.3%
High (>55c)31.3%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 11:57:41 PM7 trades$5,8882 min
8/16/2026, 6:29:43 AM14 trades$5,5652 min
6/27/2026, 5:00:05 AM2 trades$2,8000 min
5/13/2026, 2:25:37 PM10 trades$2,2237 min
6/18/2026, 7:41:08 AM7 trades$2,1360 min
6/16/2026, 2:18:22 PM11 trades$2,0982 min
7/2/2026, 1:47:49 AM8 trades$1,9852 min
6/18/2026, 7:49:38 AM7 trades$1,8272 min
5/25/2026, 10:55:21 AM25 trades$1,7280 min
6/26/2026, 4:01:34 AM10 trades$1,6840 min
7/2/2026, 1:16:43 AM1 trades$1,1420 min
6/23/2026, 4:01:58 PM2 trades$1,0340 min
7/8/2026, 5:45:40 PM11 trades$9816 min
7/6/2026, 3:22:02 PM9 trades$9742 min
6/26/2026, 2:11:05 AM6 trades$7007 min
7/4/2026, 3:30:07 AM11 trades$6244 min
6/27/2026, 10:13:26 AM4 trades$6133 min
6/26/2026, 1:00:43 AM4 trades$5352 min
6/26/2026, 7:26:46 AM1 trades$5160 min
6/27/2026, 11:37:19 AM1 trades$5100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
11-19
11-26
12-12
01-03
06-26
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 241 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.75/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.4 / M54.3 / H31.3