stormshadow

@stormshadow

#9,11688

0x2ca9149f3b481a56d128c002b1c06591e8e8b942

~364d· 188 markets · 3259 tradesVol: $1,317,0552026-08-05 15:51:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (158/182)20/20
2.10x (win $24,449 / loss $11,646)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.57315/15
Sortino 3.16510/10
$+0.0157 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 284 (182 markets)10/10
113/130 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($6,456 / $19,122)7.2/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+16,936
DCA Master
Avg 18.2 entries/market
Whale
$815,547 invested
Consistent
113/130 profitable days
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#1,001$8,343Vol: $555,441
CRYPTO#14,465$3,130Vol: $319,699
📈 ECONOMICS#1,713$2,467Vol: $285,474
💰 FINANCE#2,391$1,979Vol: $104,087
🏛️ POLITICS#19,482$875Vol: $42,610
SPORTS#1,569,805$-43Vol: $3,884
🌤️ WEATHER#29,715$5Vol: $1,031

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,936
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,317,055
Total Redeem
$9,097
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
188
total markets
Trades
1661B / 1598S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~364d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$276
Vol: $519
Month
$51
Vol: $561
All Time
$16,936
Vol: $1,317,055

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
158W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$16,936
Win Rate
87%
158W / 24L
Profit Factor
2.1x
Avg Win
$155
Avg Loss
$-485

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,488 (0.38310742029273037% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?$2,481
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?$2,030
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?$1,978
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1,522
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?$1,044
US recession in 2025?$1,034
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$883
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?$826
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?$715
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$708

Top Losers

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$-6,533
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$-1,909
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?$-746
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-733
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?$-561
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-413
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?$-175
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?$-158
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-154

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.134
Sortino
0.064
HHI
226
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
23.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)97.2%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2025, 4:28:53 AM3 trades$26,6981 min
1/27/2025, 8:21:08 AM12 trades$24,35610 min
12/26/2025, 8:41:17 PM2 trades$22,5810 min
3/8/2025, 12:39:31 AM4 trades$21,8832 min
12/26/2024, 9:43:02 AM3 trades$18,1011 min
12/23/2024, 1:25:46 PM3 trades$15,9341 min
4/1/2025, 7:50:42 AM7 trades$14,84211 min
12/8/2024, 12:41:39 PM15 trades$13,9778 min
12/21/2024, 6:59:52 AM3 trades$13,6064 min
10/30/2025, 10:27:07 PM8 trades$13,5318 min
12/30/2025, 5:41:03 PM2 trades$13,3230 min
5/1/2025, 11:28:07 AM3 trades$12,1825 min
12/30/2025, 6:49:53 PM2 trades$10,4490 min
11/28/2025, 5:26:37 PM4 trades$10,2032 min
12/27/2025, 1:09:45 PM3 trades$10,1623 min
12/27/2025, 9:20:09 AM2 trades$10,0021 min
11/28/2025, 5:52:11 PM3 trades$9,7292 min
12/16/2025, 4:45:07 PM3 trades$9,0351 min
1/20/2025, 5:01:39 AM8 trades$9,0079 min
4/3/2026, 12:05:27 AM18 trades$8,3847 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
09-22
12-30
04-22
11-23
03-08
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M2 / H97.2