@superbay2222

#3,026,1854

0x2de1db7afb8b4aac7b3aba8cbdd7a96b83fbdbc5

~11d· 66 markets · 255 tradesVol: $26,1182026-08-04 20:09:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (24/64)3.8/20
0.05x (win $363 / loss $7,731)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.1660/15
Sortino -8.2710/10
$-0.6345 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4751 (64 markets)0/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 4427% of peak ($7,539 / $170)0/10

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,867,933$-3,345Vol: $15,250
CRYPTO#1,538,642$-208Vol: $9,586
🏛️ POLITICS#33,100$349Vol: $1,283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,204
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,118
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
104B / 151S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,204
Vol: $26,118

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
24W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-3,204
Win Rate
38%
24W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-203

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $355 (0.11072170868259922% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$226
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$6
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0

Top Losers

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,336
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,531
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,271
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-400
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand$-41
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$-11
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$-10
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.449
Sortino
-0.372
HHI
1462
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.996
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.4%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)19.2%
High (>55c)55.8%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 6:40:26 PM11 trades$6,8874 min
7/14/2026, 9:18:34 PM8 trades$4,1742 min
7/15/2026, 8:33:19 PM16 trades$3,9168 min
7/12/2026, 3:38:47 AM62 trades$2,3661 min
7/15/2026, 8:55:04 PM19 trades$1,9350 min
7/15/2026, 8:47:22 PM11 trades$1,3931 min
7/11/2026, 3:59:32 PM31 trades$1,3362 min
7/14/2026, 9:12:08 PM4 trades$9401 min
2/24/2026, 6:52:26 PM2 trades$5000 min
3/21/2026, 8:54:45 AM4 trades$4355 min
7/3/2026, 5:55:56 PM6 trades$2001 min
6/24/2026, 1:56:10 AM2 trades$1010 min
7/7/2026, 9:50:22 PM9 trades$630 min
3/21/2026, 12:24:59 PM5 trades$515 min
3/8/2026, 2:51:57 PM1 trades$500 min
2/21/2026, 6:07:48 PM8 trades$402 min
7/14/2026, 10:43:32 PM3 trades$400 min
3/21/2026, 10:54:45 AM3 trades$300 min
2/21/2026, 6:23:40 PM4 trades$289 min
3/21/2026, 12:19:25 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
02-24
03-08
03-21
07-03
07-11
07-12
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 116 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25 / M19.2 / H55.8