Polydata

@swisstony

#6100

0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14

295d· 107086 markets · 9360 tradesVol: $786,138,5422026-05-19T10:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 80%20/20
Profit Factor 1073.21x15/15
Sharpe 0.94915/15
Sortino 57.59110/10
EV $+82.01510/10
HHI 22510/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Swisstony is a highly active and successful trader on Polymarket, currently ranked 6th on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 264 days, they have executed 9,360 trades across 447 markets, generating a net profit of over $8.2 million on a total trading volume exceeding $786 million. Their consistent performance is reflected in a perfect Smart Score of 100/100 and a portfolio value of approximately $280,000.

Swisstony’s trading style is characterized by a balanced risk profile and a steady equity trend. With a 50% win rate and a Sharpe ratio of 0.95, they demonstrate disciplined risk management. They rely heavily on automated trading, as indicated by a Bot Score of 75/100, and show no exposure to weather markets or selling activity. Their badges, including Sniper and DCA Master, suggest a focus on precise entry points and dollar-cost averaging strategies, emphasizing long-term holding with minimal drawdown.

The key strengths of swisstony include elite consistency, automation, and a stable equity curve without drawdown duration, which reduces emotional trading risks. However, their low profit factor of 0.05 may indicate tight margins or frequent small wins balanced by occasional losses. Maintaining such high volume and activity levels could also expose them to market shifts or execution risks. Overall, swisstony exemplifies a disciplined and technologically driven approach on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+8,265,682
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 20.9 entries/market
Bot
Score 75/100
Whale
$319,979
Consistent
136/139 days
High Roller
$1,212/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
SPORTS#3$8,265,682Vol: $786,136,008

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,265,682
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$786,138,542
Total Redeem
$27,304
Portfolio
$280,245
Predictions
107086
total markets
Trades
9360B / 0S
Daily Volume
$1,212
Account Age
295d
since Jul 29, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-27,028
Vol: $1,042,000
Week
$92,598
Vol: $12,386,765
Month
$1,290,727
Vol: $76,478,725
All Time
$8,265,682
Vol: $786,138,542

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
365W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$23,161,404
Win Rate
50%
7W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$191
Avg Loss
$-3,473

Top Winners

ITF Takasaki: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo$587
ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Lizette Cabrera$536
Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong$147
ITF Takasaki: Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofya Lansere$26
Bengaluru 3: Digvijaypratap Singh vs Leo Vithoontien$25
ITF Takasaki: Katy Dunne vs Raluca Georgiana Serban$15
Operário Ferroviário EC leading at halftime?$1

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Thunder$-12,657
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu$-11,416
Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi$-109
Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomura$-73
Bengaluru 3: Christopher Papa vs Petr Bar Biryukov$-32
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saito$-22
Bengaluru 3: Aradhya Kshitij vs Alastair Gray$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.949
Sortino
57.591
HHI
225
Diversified
EV per $1
$82.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
24.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
7s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
56% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 4.75 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.26 — human randomness78 trades/day — mass trading894 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
91 entries
<=2
147 entries
<=5
226 entries
<=10
286 entries
<=20
336 entries
<=50
396 entries
>50
51 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)44.5%
High (>55c)45.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 31.3%

Houston$0
Shanghai$0
Chengdu$0
Beijing$0
Shenzhen$0
Wuhan$0
Atlanta$0
Toronto$0
Chongqing$0
Miami$0
Austin$0
Jinmen Hu FC win$0
New York City$0
Madrid$0
Milan$0
Other$-22,974

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
202

Moderate coverage

<=1
112 brackets
<=2
141 brackets
<=3
176 brackets
<=4
184 brackets
<=5
189 brackets
<=8
195 brackets
>8
7 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/19/2026, 1:12:44 AM1 trades$80 min
1/19/2026, 1:24:02 AM1 trades$10 min
1/19/2026, 1:32:00 AM2 trades$23 min
1/19/2026, 9:45:02 AM2 trades$300 min
1/19/2026, 4:47:16 PM2 trades$1840 min
1/19/2026, 5:11:44 PM1 trades$00 min
1/19/2026, 5:43:14 PM1 trades$90 min
1/19/2026, 5:48:40 PM2 trades$64 min
1/19/2026, 5:59:22 PM9 trades$3320 min
1/19/2026, 6:09:50 PM2 trades$60 min
1/19/2026, 6:16:34 PM1 trades$6010 min
1/19/2026, 6:24:04 PM4 trades$413 min
1/19/2026, 6:35:42 PM2 trades$4152 min
1/19/2026, 6:46:22 PM1 trades$100 min
1/23/2026, 3:46:52 PM1 trades$50 min
1/23/2026, 6:28:18 PM1 trades$880 min
1/23/2026, 6:36:22 PM3 trades$370 min
1/23/2026, 6:44:38 PM1 trades$230 min
1/23/2026, 6:52:04 PM1 trades$60 min
1/23/2026, 8:26:28 PM5 trades$1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-27
11-30
01-14
02-18
03-16
05-09
05-21
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event