Polydata
tetrose

@tetrose

#47918

0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d

~254d· 476 markets · 31828 tradesVol: $45,406,0572026-07-31 13:20:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (144/388)3.6/20
0.97x (win $1,743,186 / loss $1,791,660)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0870/15
Sortino -0.1460/10
$-0.0062 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 238 (388 markets)10/10
46/116 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 141% of peak ($521,225 / $369,367)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+471,603
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Whale
$7,810,355 invested
High Roller
$25,777/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#104$490,208Vol: $36,286,393
📈 ECONOMICS#681,779$-108,146Vol: $5,388,186
💰 FINANCE#59$69,375Vol: $2,271,402
💻 TECH#456$4,115Vol: $513,705
🎭 CULTURE#270$29,505Vol: $120,844
SPORTS#1,876,796$-13,735Vol: $111,369
CRYPTO#1,669,077$-12,928Vol: $80,994
🌤️ WEATHER#1,892$800Vol: $4,000
📢 MENTIONS#818$1,755Vol: $2,440

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$433,640
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,406,057
Total Redeem
$34,008
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
476
total markets
Trades
16628B / 15200S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~254d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,511
Vol: $13,930
Week
$-72,473
Vol: $977,171
Month
$83,512
Vol: $7,260,493
All Time
$433,640
Vol: $45,406,057

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
37%
144W / 244L events
Realized PnL
$471,603
Win Rate
37%
144W / 244L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$12,105
Avg Loss
$-7,343

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $888,599 (1.884211369576744% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$715,136
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$110,673
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$62,790
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$53,484
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$47,271
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$45,005
US government shutdown Saturday?$43,445
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$43,242
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$38,778
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$31,678

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-312,157
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-111,801
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-84,333
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-82,981
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-70,398
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-58,110
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$-45,264
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-40,622
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$-36,181
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$-35,462

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.004
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
162
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
22.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
105.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
71.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 5.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock105 trades/day — automation1.6 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
66.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)25%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 3:27:53 PM29 trades$735,9573 min
6/15/2026, 7:38:49 PM52 trades$386,4139 min
7/1/2026, 3:19:19 PM8 trades$255,0636 min
5/6/2026, 10:38:08 AM187 trades$227,93641 min
6/18/2026, 6:22:47 PM178 trades$216,10318 min
4/28/2026, 8:03:32 PM22 trades$200,0013 min
5/6/2026, 3:33:59 PM72 trades$193,5571 min
5/10/2026, 8:41:42 PM89 trades$188,7250 min
6/7/2026, 11:34:40 PM92 trades$186,2410 min
6/16/2026, 3:57:44 PM5 trades$180,3781 min
7/17/2026, 5:57:04 PM258 trades$177,9750 min
6/11/2026, 8:35:22 AM29 trades$176,6006 min
7/7/2026, 7:33:01 PM19 trades$176,0840 min
4/24/2026, 11:18:10 AM176 trades$175,25711 min
7/10/2026, 9:37:44 PM25 trades$155,4099 min
4/19/2026, 8:09:50 PM152 trades$151,73011 min
6/19/2026, 10:31:10 AM108 trades$149,3019 min
6/30/2026, 1:28:14 AM37 trades$140,9720 min
5/7/2026, 9:19:36 PM48 trades$138,0690 min
6/4/2026, 8:21:03 PM62 trades$135,2011 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-09-05 00:00:00
2025-11-30 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
2026-04-28 00:00:00
2026-05-29 00:00:00
2026-06-30 16:00:00
2026-12-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 66.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.3 / M25.8 / H25