@thalaivaa

#3,078,51517

0xe8110bc5b047a863dc014594aaf33d063e763fce

~136d· 153 markets · 659 tradesVol: $135,1092026-10-04 20:43:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (50/134)3.7/20
0.92x (win $3,426 / loss $3,712)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3940/15
Sortino -0.6770/10
$-0.0185 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 260 (134 markets)10/10
34/88 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 14793% of peak ($1,873 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,787,063$-216Vol: $64,338
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,820$-948Vol: $56,004
📈 ECONOMICS#633,040$-18Vol: $2,834
💰 FINANCE#626,252$-48Vol: $1,809
🎭 CULTURE#27,951$59Vol: $1,294
📢 MENTIONS#160,966$-49Vol: $395
₿ CRYPTO#146,371$29Vol: $187

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,733
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,109
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
394B / 265S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$84
Vol: $342
Month
$216
Vol: $3,910
All Time
$-1,733
Vol: $135,109

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
49W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$-1,584
Win Rate
37%
49W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,132 (0.7149496416506173% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$460
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$372
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?$300
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$253
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$216
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$214
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$192
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$173
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$158
Knicks vs. Spurs$142

Top Losers

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-500
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$-468
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?$-214
Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?$-121
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$-100
Will England win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$-100
Jets vs. Bills$-100
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$-100
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-100
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$-99

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
291
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
28.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1334s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.28
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.8%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 7:33:10 AM8 trades$1,3162 min
7/16/2026, 12:56:22 PM12 trades$1,0941 min
11/6/2024, 1:08:21 AM4 trades$1,0092 min
5/28/2026, 1:10:16 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/30/2026, 10:04:34 AM21 trades$8291 min
7/11/2026, 7:48:52 PM2 trades$7460 min
10/29/2024, 1:38:20 AM3 trades$5813 min
11/5/2024, 8:49:07 PM2 trades$5611 min
6/17/2026, 12:24:40 AM4 trades$5290 min
10/26/2024, 8:23:15 AM1 trades$5000 min
8/7/2023, 11:13:33 PM1 trades$4920 min
12/4/2024, 11:55:13 PM2 trades$4291 min
7/31/2026, 3:31:15 AM4 trades$4225 min
6/26/2026, 4:48:01 AM10 trades$4205 min
6/9/2026, 7:44:09 AM6 trades$4002 min
6/22/2026, 1:36:55 PM6 trades$4003 min
7/6/2026, 2:29:10 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/19/2026, 1:53:59 PM1 trades$3860 min
6/17/2026, 1:15:49 AM2 trades$3570 min
6/18/2026, 3:54:20 AM2 trades$3500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-12
11-01
01-14
11-22
01-31
06-15
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1027 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.2 / M16.8 / H69