@thatguythatguy

#3,160,64662

0x31706006a0ef88b2b8f6d093efbc83b359fbc6a0

~3d· 5 markets · 291 tradesVol: $4,376,1372026-09-23 03:17:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (2/3)18.3/20
16.79x (win $77,329 / loss $4,606)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.8528 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 4705 (3 markets)0/10
2/3 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($4,606 / $72,724)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+36,409
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Whale
$85,281 invested
Consistent
2/3 profitable days
High Roller
$21,320/day
Cool Head
Max DD 6%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,928,625$-134,676Vol: $3,179,345

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-266,352
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,376,137
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5
total markets
Trades
196B / 95S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~3d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,943
Vol: $9,723
Week
$-23,382
Vol: $411,841
Month
$-177,966
Vol: $3,077,950
All Time
$-266,352
Vol: $4,376,137

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
2W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$36,409
Win Rate
67%
2W / 1L
Profit Factor
16.79x
Avg Win
$38,665
Avg Loss
$-4,606

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77,329 (2.1239322577632755% of PnL)

Top Winners

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$51,834
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$25,496

Top Losers

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?$-4,606

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.858
Sortino
inf
HHI
1789
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.326
Kelly %
43.3%
Half-Kelly
21.7%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
64.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
72.8
Very active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.2m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 5.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule73 trades/day — mass trading1.2 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
82.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)50.5%
High (>55c)49.5%

Sessions

#12
8/19/2026, 9:30:57 PM9 trades$52,8920 min
8/22/2026, 10:03:09 PM13 trades$39,9990 min
8/22/2026, 7:51:30 PM20 trades$17,0180 min
8/21/2026, 9:57:58 AM35 trades$14,3160 min
8/21/2026, 3:49:39 PM13 trades$10,4701 min
8/21/2026, 7:33:37 AM38 trades$3,3249 min
8/22/2026, 7:42:54 AM3 trades$2,2491 min
8/22/2026, 8:00:45 PM1 trades$1,5800 min
8/21/2026, 7:47:45 AM1 trades$1,4570 min
8/22/2026, 8:15:43 AM13 trades$1,3679 min
8/21/2026, 6:21:16 AM27 trades$1,1803 min
8/21/2026, 3:44:07 PM1 trades$1,0070 min
8/21/2026, 4:51:58 PM1 trades$8210 min
8/22/2026, 7:17:51 AM59 trades$6514 min
8/22/2026, 1:53:45 PM3 trades$4532 min
8/22/2026, 6:29:37 AM7 trades$3840 min
8/22/2026, 10:00:45 AM1 trades$2920 min
8/21/2026, 4:11:13 PM4 trades$2057 min
8/21/2026, 3:12:04 PM4 trades$1481 min
8/21/2026, 3:31:30 PM2 trades$1403 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-08-21 19:00:00
2026-08-22 16:30:00
2026-08-26 22:35:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 82.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M50.5 / H49.5