@the-special
#283,049510x7a162336444f3eba14dda90ce795987709074616
~36d· 78 markets · 371 tradesVol: $18,7902026-09-10 22:08:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
17% (12/71)0/20
1.42x (win $869 / loss $611)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.57815/15
Sortino 4.99810/10
$+0.2104 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 801 (71 markets)8.5/10
4/22 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 106% of peak ($326 / $307)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+112
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Categories
6🎭 CULTURE#11,807$274Vol: $7,529
📈 ECONOMICS#54,681$6Vol: $5,079
₿ CRYPTO#1,499,352$-99Vol: $4,114
🏛️ POLITICS#1,548,412$-119Vol: $1,817
⚽ SPORTS#278,418$11Vol: $214
🌤️ WEATHER#222,733$-3Vol: $37
Overview
#1Net PnL
$70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,790
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
198B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$17
Vol: $0
Week
$26
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $0
All Time
$70
Vol: $18,790
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
17%
12W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$112
Win Rate
17%
12W / 59L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-12
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $634 (5.650449968814042% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$427
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$144
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$63
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$60
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$42
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$38
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$32
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$14
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?$3
Top Losers
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$-170
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-84
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-49
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-30
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?$-21
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$-21
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-20
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-13
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?$-12
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?$-11
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.248
HHI
1254
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.178
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.8%
Top-5 markets
61.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 75s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)22.7%
Sessions
#125/16/2026, 11:07:24 PM11 trades$6331 min
5/11/2026, 5:31:03 PM20 trades$4875 min
5/15/2026, 9:35:07 PM32 trades$1969 min
5/16/2026, 10:47:34 PM2 trades$1790 min
5/4/2026, 3:32:46 PM3 trades$1630 min
7/14/2026, 2:00:17 PM4 trades$1601 min
5/15/2026, 11:09:02 AM19 trades$1354 min
5/16/2026, 1:59:58 PM10 trades$1342 min
5/16/2026, 10:25:01 PM3 trades$1270 min
5/16/2026, 4:59:57 PM6 trades$1172 min
5/16/2026, 2:44:23 PM5 trades$1034 min
5/9/2026, 1:28:24 PM12 trades$943 min
5/16/2026, 4:34:52 PM9 trades$895 min
5/9/2026, 8:56:06 AM6 trades$620 min
5/16/2026, 10:40:39 PM2 trades$580 min
5/16/2026, 4:48:40 PM8 trades$575 min
5/9/2026, 7:21:49 AM8 trades$565 min
5/10/2026, 8:01:44 PM3 trades$490 min
5/16/2026, 7:36:17 PM2 trades$480 min
7/14/2026, 2:09:20 PM2 trades$400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
01-28
02-22
03-14
05-09
05-12
05-16
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50 / M27.3 / H22.7