@thecaricature
#3,043,047120x66a1db98713015330a82f08273b682bee77e80d9
~401d· 6644 markets · 147858 tradesVol: $10,268,4142026-08-02 07:19:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (1518/5754)0/20
0.99x (win $36,845 / loss $37,130)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0320/15
Sortino -0.0910/10
$-0.0015 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 34 (5754 markets)10/10
110/386 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($7,988 / $7,152)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
94% entries < $0.20
Whale
$191,089 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#17,532$1,044Vol: $4,373,171
🎭 CULTURE#811,910$-1,456Vol: $1,561,874
⚽ SPORTS#1,839,836$-1,367Vol: $1,540,113
💰 FINANCE#655,279$-2,149Vol: $1,287,866
₿ CRYPTO#37,367$671Vol: $621,921
📈 ECONOMICS#677,781$-962Vol: $367,283
🌤️ WEATHER#295,598$-637Vol: $165,998
💻 TECH#247,043$-86Vol: $125,814
📢 MENTIONS#9,627$45Vol: $22,359
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,674
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,268,414
Total Redeem
$202
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6644
total markets
Trades
130708B / 17150S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~401d
Periods
#2Today
$-60
Vol: $11,860
Week
$-250
Vol: $11,860
Month
$-188
Vol: $25,280
All Time
$-5,674
Vol: $10,268,414
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
1518W / 4236L events
Realized PnL
$-5,684
Win Rate
26%
1518W / 4236L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,095 (1.7759573704506433% of PnL)
Top Winners
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3,999
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$3,224
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,872
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2,228
Next US strike on Syria on December 19?$1,294
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?$973
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$908
Will Opendoor dip to $5 in November?$756
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$748
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$725
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-1,120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,036
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-629
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-471
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$-441
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$-367
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-341
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?$-335
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-313
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-293
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.005
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
301.8
Very active
Markets / Day
13.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.0
Bot Detection
#675
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 5.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock302 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage96% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
23.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)94.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)3.2%
Sessions
#127/19/2026, 6:32:25 AM68 trades$2,63622 min
7/11/2026, 12:24:02 PM28 trades$2,5023 min
4/8/2026, 8:27:35 AM159 trades$2,24354 min
5/3/2026, 11:12:12 AM25 trades$1,8092 min
5/9/2026, 8:35:55 AM4 trades$1,7981 min
5/9/2026, 12:03:30 AM2 trades$1,4000 min
12/20/2025, 1:38:42 AM2 trades$1,3065 min
7/8/2026, 11:26:23 AM90 trades$1,2941 min
7/12/2026, 9:37:11 AM9 trades$1,2923 min
5/15/2026, 4:24:19 PM9 trades$1,2686 min
4/12/2026, 3:11:21 PM122 trades$1,19032 min
7/20/2026, 9:15:04 PM24 trades$1,1124 min
7/7/2026, 11:08:16 AM5 trades$1,0875 min
4/7/2026, 10:50:27 PM112 trades$1,04857 min
4/10/2026, 2:30:51 AM33 trades$1,03415 min
4/19/2026, 9:19:48 AM8 trades$1,0151 min
4/23/2026, 12:04:22 AM18 trades$1,01314 min
4/1/2026, 4:22:29 PM49 trades$1,01226 min
7/7/2026, 11:40:34 AM21 trades$1,01210 min
4/12/2026, 11:51:41 PM6 trades$1,0048 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-30
09-05
11-08
01-11
03-16
05-20
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 76 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L94.5 / M2.3 / H3.2