thefakenick

@thefakenick

#2,81535

0x85b9e9226c56d4f2a3ff92c56b745f42498f906d

~559d· 2101 markets · 37466 tradesVol: $19,445,940 @NicholasD769492026-08-02 08:54:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (1271/2017)16.5/20
0.80x (win $241,918 / loss $304,281)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9150/15
Sortino -1.1410/10
$-0.0208 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 70 (2017 markets)10/10
311/474 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 306% of peak ($122,628 / $40,080)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+64,987
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Whale
$2,997,125 invested
Consistent
311/474 profitable days
High Roller
$5,071/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,163$62,244Vol: $16,917,250
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,107$-3,467Vol: $1,166,698
🎭 CULTURE#8,156$484Vol: $890,192
CRYPTO#11,545$4,081Vol: $341,806
📈 ECONOMICS#8,327$197Vol: $62,589
💰 FINANCE#3,798$1,132Vol: $21,551
🌤️ WEATHER#5,384$164Vol: $15,553
💻 TECH#3,253$274Vol: $12,347
📢 MENTIONS#166,665$-142Vol: $2,395

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$64,946
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,445,940
Total Redeem
$1,310
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2101
total markets
Trades
26348B / 11118S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~559d

Periods

#2
Today
$158
Vol: $7,122
Week
$-82
Vol: $7,122
Month
$155
Vol: $21,787
All Time
$64,946
Vol: $19,445,940

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
1271W / 746L events
Realized PnL
$64,987
Win Rate
63%
1271W / 746L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$190
Avg Loss
$-417

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51,487 (0.7922613672017517% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30,419
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11,652
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9,416
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,822
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6,994
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6,513
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6,250
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,975
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,445
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$4,316

Top Losers

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-17,780
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,747
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,621
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,204
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10,695
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,890
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,462
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,368
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,928
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,344

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.036
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
9.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 5.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock63 trades/day — mass trading3.6 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)47.5%

Sessions

#12
5/30/2026, 6:34:35 PM47 trades$75,4848 min
7/15/2026, 8:15:28 PM110 trades$47,65321 min
7/6/2026, 3:02:49 AM13 trades$45,6521 min
2/8/2026, 10:18:37 PM70 trades$44,639120 min
7/15/2026, 8:41:56 PM166 trades$42,47711 min
7/12/2026, 1:08:28 AM56 trades$37,6852 min
7/19/2026, 9:09:55 PM37 trades$33,0370 min
7/7/2026, 12:00:16 AM24 trades$28,88913 min
6/20/2026, 12:56:50 AM28 trades$25,93015 min
7/6/2026, 1:31:01 AM27 trades$21,2755 min
4/5/2026, 3:49:19 AM10 trades$20,85313 min
4/25/2026, 4:02:36 PM13 trades$20,45010 min
7/9/2026, 9:30:26 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/17/2026, 1:26:53 AM4 trades$18,4004 min
7/14/2026, 7:15:46 PM80 trades$18,11415 min
7/15/2026, 3:16:55 AM1 trades$17,4420 min
7/14/2026, 7:07:19 PM37 trades$16,9382 min
7/16/2026, 7:19:16 AM2 trades$15,9240 min
6/2/2026, 4:45:57 AM2 trades$14,9801 min
7/4/2026, 12:17:28 AM4 trades$14,8826 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
04-12
07-16
10-30
02-05
04-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.21/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.3 / M11.2 / H47.5