theo5

@theo5

#16382

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b

~1084d· 982 markets · 43583 tradesVol: $103,814,0252026-08-01 16:08:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (578/929)16.1/20
1.80x (win $1,655,289 / loss $921,701)12.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.89215/15
Sortino 3.07010/10
$+0.0271 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 149 (929 markets)10/10
295/462 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($194,424 / $783,471)9/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+1,084,212
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 40.0 entries/market
Whale
$27,033,410 invested
Consistent
295/462 profitable days
High Roller
$20,403/day
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#78$560,616Vol: $82,237,648
SPORTS#799$103,186Vol: $4,477,881
🎭 CULTURE#84$71,311Vol: $4,289,891
CRYPTO#825$48,314Vol: $2,537,566
💰 FINANCE#52$65,615Vol: $1,869,394
📈 ECONOMICS#1,178$4,266Vol: $1,263,232
💻 TECH#119$14,316Vol: $705,265
📢 MENTIONS#176,362$-5,315Vol: $243,582
🌤️ WEATHER#2,023$720Vol: $47,455

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,083,941
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,814,025
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
982
total markets
Trades
27320B / 16263S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~1084d

Periods

#2
Today
$-710
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,576
Vol: $16,436
Month
$-710
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,083,941
Vol: $103,814,025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
62%
578W / 351L events
Realized PnL
$1,084,212
Win Rate
62%
578W / 351L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$2,864
Avg Loss
$-2,802

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $339,070 (0.31273399432666127% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$161,019
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?$91,415
Biden wins the Popular Vote?$86,636
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$71,754
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$59,224
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$49,972
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$41,044
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$34,455
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$33,159
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$33,053

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-78,542
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-77,980
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$-56,389
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-53,974
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5$-41,783
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-30,813
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31$-29,361
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-27,909
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-26,698
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-26,346

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.097
HHI
122
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.5m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 5.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency0.7 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
39.97
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)33.2%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 4:19:59 AM555 trades$749,592228 min
9/6/2024, 5:30:21 PM28 trades$570,75436 min
10/17/2024, 8:32:50 AM18 trades$345,65516 min
11/5/2024, 11:20:17 PM136 trades$326,484114 min
9/18/2024, 6:03:24 PM5 trades$300,0167 min
8/6/2024, 7:36:16 AM1 trades$299,7000 min
11/6/2024, 9:55:23 AM3 trades$201,7056 min
11/15/2024, 10:59:39 PM69 trades$200,81928 min
3/4/2026, 7:17:37 PM6 trades$199,8003 min
1/21/2025, 6:02:41 AM5 trades$199,63314 min
5/18/2025, 7:24:57 PM39 trades$198,18012 min
11/6/2024, 2:58:27 AM111 trades$177,61566 min
8/2/2024, 6:11:44 PM2 trades$175,5581 min
4/12/2024, 7:32:29 AM1 trades$166,9380 min
3/18/2026, 1:54:51 PM34 trades$157,17022 min
5/9/2025, 8:16:04 PM22 trades$155,60832 min
7/21/2024, 5:51:42 PM75 trades$152,03833 min
1/16/2025, 10:23:01 AM1 trades$149,1000 min
8/8/2024, 7:30:32 PM6 trades$148,46410 min
3/26/2024, 7:51:34 AM1 trades$142,4900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
06-25
01-12
07-24
11-25
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 39.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.9 / M22.9 / H33.2