@thinkingmansgame

#17,06746

0xcb14ea66fe71f23b5426d05b6db4b86dc34cbd17

~249d· 783 markets · 4400 tradesVol: $1,110,5212026-08-02 09:48:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (372/731)10.4/20
1.06x (win $132,689 / loss $125,384)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4698.8/15
Sortino 0.7507.5/10
$+0.0171 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 137 (731 markets)10/10
111/218 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 165% of peak ($16,663 / $10,099)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,134
Whale
$426,881 invested
High Roller
$1,176/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,876,762$-11,327Vol: $622,110
🏛️ POLITICS#2,056$21,738Vol: $329,331
🎭 CULTURE#814,814$-1,975Vol: $51,391
💰 FINANCE#651,724$-795Vol: $30,527
📈 ECONOMICS#7,031$263Vol: $26,872
₿ CRYPTO#1,601,129$-685Vol: $22,688
💻 TECH#1,494$910Vol: $18,825
🌤️ WEATHER#4,470$230Vol: $8,197
📢 MENTIONS#161,080$-78Vol: $454

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,319
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,110,521
Total Redeem
$7,202
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
783
total markets
Trades
2748B / 1652S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~249d

Periods

#2
Today
$130
Vol: $200
Week
$1,039
Vol: $200
Month
$29
Vol: $225
All Time
$8,319
Vol: $1,110,521

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
372W / 359L events
Realized PnL
$8,134
Win Rate
51%
372W / 359L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$357
Avg Loss
$-360

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,317 (2.1291064227402376% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$7,102
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$6,845
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$3,370
Packers vs. Cowboys$2,962
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$2,606
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2,294
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1,987
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,983
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,972
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1,908

Top Losers

Wizards vs. Mavericks$-3,857
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-3,537
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-3,346
Kash Patel out by June 30?$-2,251
Bills vs. Texans$-2,215
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-2,011
Suns vs. Clippers$-2,010
Commanders vs. Falcons$-2,000
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)$-1,920
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Lipscomb Bisons$-1,852

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.025
Sortino
0.034
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 4.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.3%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)54.5%

Sessions

#12
10/31/2025, 8:22:11 PM2 trades$30,2573 min
10/31/2025, 8:11:23 PM4 trades$19,8925 min
4/28/2026, 12:17:02 PM169 trades$13,67279 min
11/8/2025, 11:32:27 PM6 trades$7,5627 min
1/3/2026, 4:16:19 AM9 trades$5,57514 min
2/28/2026, 10:31:43 PM12 trades$4,9879 min
11/3/2025, 12:05:49 AM3 trades$4,0852 min
2/7/2026, 1:46:15 AM1 trades$4,0600 min
5/8/2026, 1:14:57 PM5 trades$4,0572 min
6/14/2026, 9:27:28 PM18 trades$3,9796 min
10/25/2025, 1:03:55 AM1 trades$3,8570 min
6/22/2026, 8:18:53 PM5 trades$3,8000 min
11/2/2025, 10:03:27 PM3 trades$3,7713 min
6/30/2026, 8:21:13 PM1 trades$3,7460 min
7/21/2026, 4:53:45 PM4 trades$3,5134 min
11/13/2025, 4:36:02 AM8 trades$3,4821 min
6/30/2026, 11:08:52 PM29 trades$3,4516 min
6/26/2026, 12:25:35 AM11 trades$3,4371 min
10/19/2025, 4:19:47 PM6 trades$3,1009 min
10/30/2025, 8:14:31 PM1 trades$3,0770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-04
10-04
11-23
02-07
03-31
06-04
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.3 / M28.1 / H54.5