@throat-goat

#3,038,39585

0x1e34fd6aa3b46e4f4d6b97a1491b726291adb86f

~118d· 118 markets · 3212 tradesVol: $1,117,7572026-08-05 16:38:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (50/99)10.3/20
2.86x (win $81,864 / loss $28,624)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.18515/15
Sortino 14.31310/10
$+0.2431 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 993 (99 markets)7.5/10
34/59 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($10,622 / $53,240)10/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 29.2 entries/market
Whale
$219,041 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#681,367$-2,223Vol: $407,947
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,863$-4,172Vol: $407,380
SPORTS#27,902$1,553Vol: $212,245
💰 FINANCE#5,601$659Vol: $59,823
🌤️ WEATHER#291,412$-209Vol: $19,500
💻 TECH#11,563$26Vol: $5,474
CRYPTO#100,138$93Vol: $3,482
🎭 CULTURE#36,181$37Vol: $1,245
📢 MENTIONS#18,896$11Vol: $42

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,187
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,117,757
Total Redeem
$600
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
2313B / 899S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$-170
Vol: $0
Week
$-260
Vol: $20,000
Month
$-180
Vol: $20,000
All Time
$-4,187
Vol: $1,117,757

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
50W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-4,187
Win Rate
51%
50W / 49L
Profit Factor
2.86x
Avg Win
$1,637
Avg Loss
$-609

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $75,910 (18.13149509628292% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$29,980
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27,906
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$18,024
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,652
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,200
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$471
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$336
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$328
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$220
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$182

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,404
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,740
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,845
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-2,732
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,545
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-2,271
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,935
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?$-1,109
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-983
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$-620

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.165
Sortino
0.521
HHI
827
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.250
Kelly %
35.5%
Half-Kelly
17.7%
Top-1 market
22.1%
Top-5 markets
52.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.5m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 3.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)33%
High (>55c)45.2%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 4:37:54 PM10 trades$8,2390 min
2/22/2026, 5:55:48 AM5 trades$5,5475 min
2/13/2026, 7:38:33 PM1 trades$5,4510 min
2/5/2026, 9:46:59 PM2 trades$4,6050 min
5/20/2026, 4:53:43 AM5 trades$4,0320 min
2/13/2026, 1:31:15 PM2 trades$3,9820 min
2/17/2026, 11:03:59 PM17 trades$3,9281 min
2/27/2026, 5:01:49 PM11 trades$3,8382 min
2/19/2026, 4:55:18 AM4 trades$3,7517 min
2/23/2026, 3:08:50 AM3 trades$3,3011 min
3/3/2026, 4:16:19 AM14 trades$3,0105 min
2/16/2026, 6:46:41 AM4 trades$2,9515 min
2/20/2026, 8:18:52 AM5 trades$2,9404 min
2/17/2026, 6:18:25 PM4 trades$2,8013 min
5/30/2026, 10:34:23 PM1 trades$2,3500 min
6/7/2026, 9:45:46 PM128 trades$2,24436 min
2/27/2026, 9:02:43 PM3 trades$2,2080 min
2/9/2026, 7:06:53 PM1 trades$2,2000 min
5/12/2026, 4:50:55 AM7 trades$2,1505 min
2/13/2026, 5:01:07 AM9 trades$2,11519 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
02-06
02-28
03-13
04-19
06-03
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M33 / H45.2