@thursdays

#15,63356

0x04dcbd9b805b220a9b2d27e4d9e649ed07902387

~635d· 2469 markets · 16445 tradesVol: $1,780,3652026-08-02 08:52:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (1175/2356)9.9/20
1.12x (win $154,391 / loss $138,269)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.85915/15
Sortino 1.14510/10
$+0.0283 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 26 (2356 markets)10/10
270/500 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 113% of peak ($18,279 / $16,111)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+9,293
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$569,614 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#674,675$-490Vol: $758,421
🎭 CULTURE#1,729$4,518Vol: $254,279
💰 FINANCE#1,455$3,554Vol: $132,856
💻 TECH#253,202$-261Vol: $64,348
⚽ SPORTS#1,856,810$-2,300Vol: $37,406
📢 MENTIONS#619$2,585Vol: $14,483
🌤️ WEATHER#289,423$-175Vol: $4,312

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,780,365
Total Redeem
$2,088
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2469
total markets
Trades
12419B / 4026S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~635d

Periods

#2
Today
$29
Vol: $0
Week
$-154
Vol: $0
Month
$64
Vol: $495
All Time
$9,316
Vol: $1,780,365

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
1175W / 1181L events
Realized PnL
$9,293
Win Rate
50%
1175W / 1181L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$131
Avg Loss
$-121

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,446 (1.0164742518526806% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?$4,030
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$2,865
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?$2,552
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?$2,425
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$2,392
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,235
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?$2,129
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1,901
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1,817
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?$1,764

Top Losers

Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?$-4,926
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?$-3,624
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?$-3,059
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?$-2,968
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$-2,843
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$-2,761
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?$-2,483
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?$-2,443
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-2,130
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?$-2,059

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.046
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 178s — normal for humanCV 2.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)33%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 8:56:49 PM96 trades$5,90515 min
4/10/2026, 10:22:27 PM17 trades$3,6873 min
3/16/2026, 1:10:07 PM11 trades$3,38611 min
1/20/2025, 9:09:27 PM35 trades$3,34346 min
2/9/2026, 11:20:17 PM15 trades$3,29312 min
3/18/2026, 1:17:39 PM13 trades$3,24016 min
5/9/2025, 12:49:53 PM2 trades$3,1800 min
3/12/2026, 10:49:33 PM18 trades$3,10016 min
11/10/2025, 4:30:01 AM49 trades$3,06250 min
6/23/2026, 7:51:49 PM45 trades$3,0118 min
5/19/2026, 3:01:35 PM43 trades$2,9848 min
4/7/2026, 11:50:07 PM45 trades$2,89914 min
1/7/2026, 3:06:01 AM15 trades$2,8497 min
4/22/2026, 11:40:28 AM23 trades$2,7793 min
11/18/2025, 1:37:55 PM11 trades$2,56415 min
11/8/2025, 2:13:17 PM4 trades$2,4943 min
1/30/2026, 12:03:18 AM12 trades$2,48713 min
10/9/2025, 1:33:12 PM3 trades$2,4574 min
10/17/2025, 8:11:05 AM3 trades$2,3400 min
4/22/2026, 10:10:18 PM16 trades$2,3317 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
02-21
06-29
10-05
12-30
03-25
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 165 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.1 / M25.9 / H33