@tiger555

#3,051,26512

0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e

~194d· 474 markets · 492369 tradesVol: $44,490,2802026-10-06 08:15:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (43/132)1.3/20
0.78x (win $27,504 / loss $35,475)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2810/15
Sortino -2.4710/10
$-0.0572 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 307 (132 markets)10/10
24/72 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 609% of peak ($19,938 / $3,274)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$139,239 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#39,944$927Vol: $14,781,519
🏛️ POLITICS#9,775$2,674Vol: $14,686,736
📈 ECONOMICS#694,585$-833Vol: $10,414,080
💰 FINANCE#662,781$-762Vol: $1,875,461
₿ CRYPTO#1,697,918$-1,788Vol: $1,602,914
🎭 CULTURE#822,422$-1,491Vol: $1,121,611
🌤️ WEATHER#212,553$-3Vol: $7,959

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,276
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,490,280
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
474
total markets
Trades
37860B / 12021S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~194d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$85
Vol: $43,605
Month
$-3,727
Vol: $1,264,269
All Time
$-1,276
Vol: $44,490,280

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
36W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$-3,737
Win Rate
27%
36W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$640
Avg Loss
$-399

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,447 (4.935756618994742% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$11,648
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,709
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2,090
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$1,745
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,360
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,050
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?$770
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$594
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$470
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$395

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-3,875
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-2,764
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,692
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,833
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,771
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-1,690
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,606
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$-1,503
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,357
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-1,354

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.067
Sortino
-0.126
HHI
214
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
23.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
925.5
Very active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
30 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 4.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock926 trades/day — automation0.9 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
228.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)32.3%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 3:20:50 PM350 trades$12,16116 min
9/8/2026, 1:15:10 AM99 trades$4,1357 min
9/8/2026, 1:47:46 AM20 trades$2,7984 min
9/8/2026, 1:27:19 AM51 trades$2,4662 min
4/28/2026, 4:17:56 PM124 trades$2,2625 min
5/26/2026, 1:57:09 PM37 trades$2,24738 min
5/23/2026, 10:24:50 AM55 trades$1,88763 min
8/31/2026, 5:43:07 AM3 trades$1,7454 min
4/26/2026, 12:20:08 AM60 trades$1,66813 min
4/1/2026, 1:41:07 PM13 trades$1,61014 min
4/28/2026, 3:55:46 PM96 trades$1,4949 min
4/24/2026, 1:43:54 AM56 trades$1,40629 min
3/30/2026, 8:57:48 AM525 trades$1,381375 min
4/28/2026, 4:32:02 PM137 trades$1,37445 min
4/7/2026, 10:35:17 AM5 trades$1,3382 min
3/29/2026, 4:46:16 PM391 trades$1,008284 min
6/4/2026, 6:53:51 PM34 trades$95815 min
4/6/2026, 10:16:13 AM14 trades$93118 min
4/20/2026, 4:06:16 AM27 trades$91923 min
9/7/2026, 11:23:45 AM1 trades$9100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
04-15
05-01
05-18
06-06
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 228.16/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63 / M4.7 / H32.3