Polydata

@tiger555

#25,77713

0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e

~152d· 473 markets · 475328 tradesVol: $41,804,9512026-07-31 15:27:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (40/121)1.5/20
0.84x (win $16,060 / loss $19,213)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0130/15
Sortino -1.9030/10
$-0.0241 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 280 (121 markets)10/10
22/63 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 428% of peak ($11,160 / $2,605)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+4,769
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$130,830 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#15,429$2,816Vol: $14,247,052
🏛️ POLITICS#6,199$5,103Vol: $12,944,435
📈 ECONOMICS#678,290$-760Vol: $10,311,292
💰 FINANCE#643,399$-268Vol: $1,787,067
CRYPTO#1,623,395$-1,253Vol: $1,421,534
🎭 CULTURE#807,784$-726Vol: $1,086,797
🌤️ WEATHER#266,266$-28Vol: $6,774

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,884
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,804,951
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
473
total markets
Trades
36316B / 11813S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d

Periods

#2
Today
$212
Vol: $23,857
Week
$144
Vol: $682,691
Month
$-2,971
Vol: $4,916,611
All Time
$4,884
Vol: $41,804,951

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
27%
33W / 90L events
Realized PnL
$4,769
Win Rate
27%
33W / 90L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$402
Avg Loss
$-237

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,923 (2.0809038007863694% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5,824
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,355
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$1,745
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,360
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,045
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?$770
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$525
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$470
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$297
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$212

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,938
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,382
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-1,354
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,346
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-916
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-886
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-845
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-803
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$-752
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-678

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
62
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
974.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
55.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 3.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock974 trades/day — automation1.0 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
132.84
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.9%
High (>55c)31.4%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 3:20:50 PM350 trades$12,16116 min
4/28/2026, 4:17:56 PM124 trades$2,2625 min
5/26/2026, 1:57:09 PM37 trades$2,24738 min
5/23/2026, 10:24:50 AM55 trades$1,88763 min
4/26/2026, 12:20:08 AM60 trades$1,66813 min
4/1/2026, 1:41:07 PM13 trades$1,61014 min
4/28/2026, 3:55:46 PM96 trades$1,4949 min
4/24/2026, 1:43:54 AM56 trades$1,40629 min
3/30/2026, 8:57:48 AM525 trades$1,381375 min
4/28/2026, 4:32:02 PM137 trades$1,37445 min
4/7/2026, 10:35:17 AM5 trades$1,3382 min
3/29/2026, 4:46:16 PM391 trades$1,008284 min
6/4/2026, 6:53:51 PM34 trades$95815 min
4/6/2026, 10:16:13 AM14 trades$93118 min
4/20/2026, 4:06:16 AM27 trades$91923 min
4/10/2026, 1:47:43 PM14 trades$89923 min
5/6/2026, 2:11:08 AM20 trades$88712 min
5/9/2026, 12:02:20 PM4 trades$8270 min
6/8/2026, 10:34:28 PM28 trades$78912 min
5/18/2026, 12:44:46 AM48 trades$77338 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
04-12
04-26
05-09
05-28
06-09
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 132.84/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.7 / M4.9 / H31.4