Polydata

@timetowander

#3,057,77237

0x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c

~148d· 831 markets · 36051 tradesVol: $36,660,0212026-07-31 13:20:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (279/734)4/20
1.05x (win $1,072,304 / loss $1,019,635)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3676.9/15
Sortino 0.7317.3/10
$+0.0140 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 535 (734 markets)9.8/10
63/127 profitable days (50%)4.9/10
Max DD 462% of peak ($243,357 / $52,669)0/10

Badges

5
Whale
$3,768,818 invested
High Roller
$8,122/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#973$5,526Vol: $16,730,683
SPORTS#3,117$17,969Vol: $12,347,996
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,187$-26,032Vol: $5,954,383
CRYPTO#1,667,402$-9,007Vol: $1,139,424
🎭 CULTURE#814,720$-4,491Vol: $347,561
💰 FINANCE#2,373$1,989Vol: $58,476
💻 TECH#66,937$0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,812
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,660,021
Total Redeem
$2,816
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
831
total markets
Trades
23347B / 12704S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d

Periods

#2
Today
$-132
Vol: $34,684
Week
$6,250
Vol: $3,729,219
Month
$-62,839
Vol: $9,246,985
All Time
$-14,812
Vol: $36,660,021

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
279W / 455L events
Realized PnL
$-14,846
Win Rate
38%
279W / 455L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$3,843
Avg Loss
$-2,371

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $520,544 (35.06196249595862% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$264,877
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$186,196
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69,471
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$50,386
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$32,097
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev$18,279
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$14,049
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12,805
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$12,795
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 7?$12,041

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-245,393
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-59,369
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-52,601
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-34,297
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-18,592
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva$-14,406
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz$-14,134
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$-13,209
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron$-12,562
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-12,106

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.019
Sortino
0.030
HHI
751
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
55%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
65 min
Avg Trades / Session
172.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 4.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading1.8 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
45.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)76.7%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 10:49:31 AM1910 trades$292,040574 min
4/29/2026, 12:50:30 PM9 trades$210,4945 min
4/29/2026, 2:01:44 PM3 trades$200,0000 min
4/29/2026, 2:58:06 PM13 trades$190,32113 min
4/11/2026, 12:05:01 PM759 trades$182,903302 min
4/12/2026, 2:24:09 PM408 trades$173,45295 min
4/29/2026, 10:48:40 AM2 trades$150,0000 min
4/29/2026, 11:09:50 AM2 trades$150,0000 min
4/29/2026, 4:43:00 PM151 trades$147,26177 min
7/28/2026, 2:37:53 PM266 trades$123,02444 min
7/19/2026, 6:32:00 PM208 trades$107,89243 min
4/10/2026, 9:40:45 PM397 trades$107,050260 min
7/18/2026, 6:47:52 PM392 trades$103,670115 min
7/29/2026, 1:46:51 PM239 trades$101,17997 min
7/19/2026, 1:36:54 PM69 trades$98,21140 min
4/10/2026, 5:21:03 AM218 trades$90,123113 min
7/27/2026, 7:01:13 PM183 trades$84,18073 min
4/11/2026, 5:13:25 PM257 trades$71,765111 min
7/26/2026, 2:01:19 PM194 trades$64,81877 min
7/29/2026, 4:57:33 PM99 trades$55,51024 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
03-15
04-18
05-11
06-12
07-03
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 153 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 45.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.7 / M14.6 / H76.7