@tinylonglong
#28,206150x04dcf8d1328b2bf5fa6e7aa8a200df95751cd572
~48d· 5250 markets · 196181 tradesVol: $1,082,2692026-08-26 09:11:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
28% (1455/5250)0/20
0.91x (win $2,348 / loss $2,576)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.2690/15
Sortino -6.5640/10
$-0.0265 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (5250 markets)10/10
22/48 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 634% of peak ($283 / $45)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+4,506
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#484$4,506Vol: $1,082,269
Overview
#1Net PnL
$4,506
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,082,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5250
total markets
Trades
8717B / 10838S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d
Periods
#2Month
$525
Vol: $51,884
All Time
$4,506
Vol: $1,082,269
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
3322W / 8131L events
Realized PnL
$4,506
Win Rate
29%
3322W / 8131L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $115 (0.02540966144122712% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?$49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$38
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?$24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?$24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?$22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?$22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$17
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?$-33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?$-28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?$-28
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$-27
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?$-19
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.325
Sortino
-0.354
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1691.2
Very active
Markets / Day
45.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.0
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1691 trades/day — automation45 markets/day — mass coverage5% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.72
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)97.6%
Sessions
#124/24/2026, 7:09:38 AM135 trades$14646 min
4/29/2026, 6:02:52 AM80 trades$10245 min
5/3/2026, 12:02:32 AM60 trades$9833 min
4/25/2026, 6:03:14 AM74 trades$9545 min
5/1/2026, 7:17:00 AM89 trades$8741 min
5/5/2026, 2:27:20 PM63 trades$8237 min
5/14/2026, 6:46:10 AM57 trades$8231 min
4/27/2026, 4:41:56 AM84 trades$8134 min
5/12/2026, 3:32:45 AM80 trades$7933 min
5/13/2026, 6:02:52 AM54 trades$7242 min
5/4/2026, 7:25:16 AM60 trades$7131 min
5/1/2026, 5:33:20 AM54 trades$6225 min
4/24/2026, 2:11:22 PM33 trades$6135 min
5/6/2026, 11:57:24 AM50 trades$6035 min
4/30/2026, 3:51:10 PM47 trades$6018 min
4/28/2026, 7:54:32 AM36 trades$6016 min
5/5/2026, 12:01:04 AM40 trades$5821 min
5/8/2026, 7:36:01 AM91 trades$5752 min
4/25/2026, 7:22:28 AM45 trades$5233 min
4/27/2026, 6:01:30 AM45 trades$5217 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
04-30
05-08
05-16
07-22
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 88 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M1.1 / H97.6