@toddler

#1,591,86659

0xc692cb9dd315ca20d4a9ed69cb74e1a1fc1b976e

~18d· 51 markets · 119 tradesVol: $14,2742026-10-08 06:02:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (30/47)16.9/20
1.47x (win $52 / loss $35)8.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.72715/15
Sortino 5.31510/10
$+0.0013 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 4274 (47 markets)0/10
10/16 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 82% of peak ($14 / $17)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Consistent
10/16 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#259,474$3Vol: $7,678
💰 FINANCE#546,613$-5Vol: $4,391
⚽ SPORTS#1,369,722$-10Vol: $1,926
📈 ECONOMICS#69,258$3Vol: $133
₿ CRYPTO#314,673$3Vol: $79
🌤️ WEATHER#171,721$-0Vol: $33
🎭 CULTURE#599,050$-2Vol: $20
💻 TECH#28,889$4Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,274
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
74B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5
Vol: $14,274

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
29W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
63%
29W / 17L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (4.914529914529915% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$5
US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?$5
Will TikTok be banned again before May?$4
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$3
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$3
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$2
US bank failure before September?$1

Top Losers

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$-10
Tether Insolvent in 2024?$-5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?$-4
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?$-4
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-2
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?$-2
Jonathan Anderson joins Dior creative director before February?$-2
2025 January hottest on record?$-1
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$-1
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.189
Sortino
0.197
HHI
8001
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
85.4%
Top-5 markets
132.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.5m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.1%
High (>55c)85.1%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 5:28:27 PM11 trades$5,3581 min
9/6/2026, 3:36:10 PM14 trades$2,0882 min
6/4/2026, 8:36:34 PM9 trades$1,8151 min
8/1/2024, 6:22:45 PM11 trades$1,6625 min
4/9/2026, 6:31:33 PM7 trades$1,22811 min
4/9/2026, 7:06:01 PM1 trades$1,1380 min
9/7/2026, 12:29:33 PM7 trades$1,0200 min
6/8/2026, 3:31:06 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/9/2026, 5:52:15 PM1 trades$3360 min
6/5/2026, 10:13:30 AM1 trades$2510 min
12/14/2024, 1:20:50 PM1 trades$2380 min
6/11/2026, 7:14:39 PM2 trades$2220 min
1/2/2025, 11:09:06 PM5 trades$2217 min
6/5/2026, 6:55:33 AM1 trades$2150 min
8/7/2024, 8:19:10 PM1 trades$1750 min
6/5/2026, 10:34:57 AM1 trades$1510 min
6/4/2026, 9:35:43 PM3 trades$574 min
6/5/2026, 9:46:04 AM3 trades$488 min
6/5/2026, 2:54:39 AM1 trades$470 min
4/9/2026, 6:54:21 PM2 trades$432 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-01
08-25
10-09
01-23
10-12
04-22
06-05
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.8 / M8.1 / H85.1