@toomy

#2,422,34638

0x4d9010ab9aa23aa5d1868b54946382c0791be0be

~20d· 51 markets · 106 tradesVol: $10,4372026-10-07 20:07:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (19/45)6.1/20
1.36x (win $79 / loss $58)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81015/15
Sortino 4.57910/10
$+0.0024 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 7263 (45 markets)0/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 180% of peak ($37 / $21)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,354,943$-16Vol: $5,832
📈 ECONOMICS#51,566$7Vol: $3,103
₿ CRYPTO#1,325,988$-27Vol: $642
💰 FINANCE#583,191$-11Vol: $507
⚽ SPORTS#1,079,959$-2Vol: $294
🎭 CULTURE#629,548$-4Vol: $49
🌤️ WEATHER#67,830$0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-53
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,437
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
82B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$48
Vol: $1,218
Month
$-17
Vol: $4,373
All Time
$-53
Vol: $10,437

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
19W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-53
Win Rate
43%
19W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $65 (1.2260377358490566% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$56
Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?$5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$4
Will Adin Ross put on the Retardio by Sunday?$3
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$2
US bank failure before December?$2
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$2
Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?$1
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?$1
Hawks vs. Rockets$1

Top Losers

Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$-15
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$-11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$-5
Will Italy win Group B?$-5
Is $DJT real?$-3
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$-3
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $150m and $170m opening weekend?$-2
Jaguars vs. Lions$-1
Will FTX payouts start in Q2 2024?$-1
Texans vs. Cowboys$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.091
Sortino
0.235
HHI
4793
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
69.2%
Top-5 markets
74.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 3.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)75.6%

Sessions

#12
9/26/2026, 8:44:02 AM5 trades$3,4500 min
5/17/2026, 10:39:19 AM12 trades$2,0372 min
10/2/2026, 12:05:03 PM3 trades$1,2030 min
5/17/2026, 10:50:28 PM7 trades$1,0271 min
9/26/2026, 2:01:11 PM1 trades$7910 min
3/1/2026, 7:38:55 PM4 trades$6152 min
6/19/2024, 10:01:48 PM10 trades$5897 min
2/27/2026, 10:57:43 AM2 trades$5561 min
5/17/2026, 10:30:03 PM3 trades$4730 min
12/6/2024, 1:54:26 PM4 trades$1582 min
11/16/2024, 8:51:41 AM7 trades$1532 min
6/30/2024, 9:16:05 PM3 trades$1133 min
9/28/2026, 6:41:02 PM2 trades$1000 min
2/8/2025, 10:02:00 AM5 trades$402 min
5/18/2026, 11:34:57 AM4 trades$280 min
2/24/2025, 5:18:58 PM3 trades$200 min
6/22/2025, 3:47:34 AM3 trades$160 min
10/6/2025, 12:49:21 PM5 trades$151 min
9/29/2026, 11:46:15 AM1 trades$110 min
9/29/2026, 5:05:59 PM2 trades$105 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
09-02
11-16
02-08
06-22
05-17
09-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M14.6 / H75.6