@trenchesgirlcap

#3,071,07411

0xb28a8d45669aba69eab824afd641ea41e5bf6d4a

~357d· 1580 markets · 10286 tradesVol: $1,299,1172026-08-23 15:17:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (545/1567)2.4/20
0.43x (win $4,016 / loss $9,387)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5350/15
Sortino -4.6130/10
$-0.1045 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 679 (1567 markets)9.1/10
53/267 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5,383 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
Whale
$51,396 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,673$-2,018Vol: $384,869
CRYPTO#1,639,889$-981Vol: $302,584
SPORTS#1,820,137$-640Vol: $150,388
📈 ECONOMICS#675,797$-235Vol: $148,622
💻 TECH#6,073$101Vol: $100,330
💰 FINANCE#648,375$-214Vol: $88,836
🎭 CULTURE#806,025$-261Vol: $72,535
🌤️ WEATHER#288,351$-98Vol: $31,017
📢 MENTIONS#160,756$-57Vol: $755

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,389
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,299,117
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1580
total markets
Trades
8914B / 1372S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~357d

Periods

#2
Today
$-61
Vol: $3,117
Week
$77
Vol: $3,117
Month
$35
Vol: $40,526
All Time
$-4,389
Vol: $1,299,117

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
545W / 1022L events
Realized PnL
$-4,261
Win Rate
35%
545W / 1022L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $806 (0.1890601676696176% of PnL)

Top Winners

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$336
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5$260
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?$210
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1PM ET$120
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?$92
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET$63
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET$51

Top Losers

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-832
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-667
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-657
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-169
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?$-145
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$-137
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7PM ET$-135
Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?$-116
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$-101
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.237
Sortino
-0.229
HHI
659
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
51.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 5.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active2.9 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.2%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)6.8%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2025, 8:09:52 AM16 trades$4,1548 min
6/23/2025, 9:14:25 AM31 trades$3,20415 min
6/22/2025, 9:18:20 AM33 trades$2,88323 min
6/6/2025, 4:52:02 PM334 trades$2,383215 min
6/21/2025, 10:17:24 PM6 trades$1,8196 min
6/22/2025, 9:48:26 AM22 trades$1,81116 min
6/21/2025, 9:17:46 PM5 trades$1,3933 min
5/22/2026, 9:28:32 PM7 trades$1,2191 min
6/22/2025, 8:30:44 AM12 trades$1,2164 min
6/24/2026, 5:12:11 AM9 trades$1,0611 min
6/22/2025, 10:14:12 AM8 trades$9018 min
6/21/2025, 6:27:20 PM3 trades$8401 min
6/20/2025, 10:29:04 PM2 trades$8112 min
6/22/2025, 12:00:06 AM1 trades$7650 min
6/7/2026, 3:44:52 AM7 trades$7531 min
6/22/2025, 1:35:00 AM1 trades$7480 min
4/29/2026, 7:36:54 PM7 trades$7451 min
6/21/2025, 7:00:30 PM1 trades$7310 min
6/21/2025, 6:14:08 PM1 trades$7220 min
6/22/2025, 7:17:24 AM1 trades$7140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
04-25
07-18
11-26
02-13
05-11
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.2 / M14 / H6.8