Polydata
truthteller

@truthteller

#1,09345

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102

~930d· 2391 markets · 129290 tradesVol: $143,837,924 @AbrahamKurland2026-07-31 18:22:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (1362/2309)14.5/20
1.06x (win $1,334,982 / loss $1,258,575)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3015.6/15
Sortino 0.4624.6/10
$+0.0031 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 133 (2309 markets)10/10
290/500 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 76% of peak ($231,142 / $303,495)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+186,818
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 44.7 entries/market
Whale
$24,513,027 invested
High Roller
$18,473/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,272$38,680Vol: $92,198,057
🎭 CULTURE#189$39,807Vol: $26,849,954
CRYPTO#861$46,559Vol: $11,658,851
📈 ECONOMICS#416$17,188Vol: $6,891,255
💰 FINANCE#2,072$2,363Vol: $2,503,807
📢 MENTIONS#277$6,617Vol: $1,464,380
SPORTS#4,965$10,908Vol: $654,535
💻 TECH#145$12,374Vol: $610,610
🌤️ WEATHER#282,560$-87Vol: $39,939

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$186,859
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,837,924
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2391
total markets
Trades
73012B / 56278S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~930d

Periods

#2
Today
$756
Vol: $122,888
Week
$1,265
Vol: $993,171
Month
$2,809
Vol: $2,016,065
All Time
$186,859
Vol: $143,837,924

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
59%
1362W / 947L events
Realized PnL
$186,818
Win Rate
59%
1362W / 947L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$980
Avg Loss
$-1,389

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $223,376 (1.1956895818482656% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$116,171
Will Ben Carson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$58,677
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$48,528
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night$45,831
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$43,902
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$38,742
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$37,375
Biden wins the Popular Vote?$35,143
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$34,994
Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$33,587

Top Losers

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-311,207
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$-55,655
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-50,276
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-48,639
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?$-47,228
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$-37,554
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-35,648
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-23,021
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-20,634
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-20,022

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.016
Sortino
0.017
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
97.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.9m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
41 min
Avg Trades / Session
104.6

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 4.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock97 trades/day — mass trading1.8 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
44.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.2%
Mid (20-55c)19.9%
High (>55c)25.9%

Sessions

#12
9/6/2024, 5:06:26 PM85 trades$303,12438 min
11/2/2024, 10:39:13 PM256 trades$298,386121 min
10/31/2024, 12:22:40 PM117 trades$226,38731 min
11/4/2024, 4:39:09 PM395 trades$187,900158 min
1/18/2025, 8:07:49 AM38 trades$183,91720 min
7/15/2024, 3:49:17 PM285 trades$170,554125 min
7/15/2024, 6:00:41 PM249 trades$150,52471 min
10/31/2024, 3:11:48 PM130 trades$149,29767 min
8/26/2024, 3:34:59 AM6 trades$135,4332 min
1/18/2025, 7:27:27 AM63 trades$129,62626 min
10/31/2024, 4:52:30 AM884 trades$128,92024 min
10/29/2024, 6:59:54 PM37 trades$125,10417 min
2/22/2025, 4:03:33 AM20 trades$124,33217 min
11/3/2024, 1:20:30 AM170 trades$121,303141 min
11/5/2024, 4:13:29 PM319 trades$115,837139 min
9/11/2024, 11:31:25 PM43 trades$113,93146 min
10/18/2024, 12:03:14 AM20 trades$113,37113 min
1/19/2025, 6:18:37 PM136 trades$111,59881 min
9/11/2024, 7:08:05 PM23 trades$108,16626 min
11/5/2024, 8:00:15 PM218 trades$106,089122 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
05-05
08-03
11-10
05-29
11-07
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 631 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.2 / M19.9 / H25.9