Polydata
tsybka

@tsybka

#65890

0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4

~641d· 790 markets · 16246 tradesVol: $42,330,712 @tsybka2026-07-31 17:27:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (622/755)20/20
2.53x (win $385,137 / loss $152,057)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.33515/15
Sortino 5.01010/10
$+0.0087 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 208 (755 markets)10/10
319/395 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($25,642 / $253,560)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+308,986
DCA Master
Avg 17.5 entries/market
Whale
$26,910,477 invested
Consistent
319/395 profitable days
High Roller
$36,613/day
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#303$172,424Vol: $27,302,860
CRYPTO#787$50,173Vol: $3,799,778
🎭 CULTURE#278$27,907Vol: $3,598,480
💻 TECH#176$10,914Vol: $2,790,991
📈 ECONOMICS#265$27,482Vol: $2,740,675
SPORTS#7,516$6,406Vol: $994,012
💰 FINANCE#4,643$877Vol: $440,589
🌤️ WEATHER#163$11,389Vol: $430,004
📢 MENTIONS#2,929$333Vol: $209,021

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$308,986
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,330,712
Total Redeem
$1,535,500
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
790
total markets
Trades
7996B / 8250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~641d

Periods

#2
Today
$185
Vol: $48,511
Week
$4,690
Vol: $170,297
Month
$14,340
Vol: $929,280
All Time
$308,986
Vol: $42,330,712

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
82%
622W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$308,986
Win Rate
82%
622W / 133L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$619
Avg Loss
$-1,408

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,259 (0.17236661765797212% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$18,507
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $18,071
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$16,681
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$14,560
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12,826
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$11,012
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$10,917
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10,196
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$9,199
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$8,551

Top Losers

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-24,300
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-23,472
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$-21,404
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$-15,579
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-7,076
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?$-4,727
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? $-4,488
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-4,006
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$-3,690
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?$-3,029

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.174
Sortino
0.116
HHI
169
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
2.2%
Half-Kelly
1.1%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
20.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.6m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 3.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.54
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)79.8%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 7:26:45 PM43 trades$949,25014 min
2/3/2026, 7:12:06 PM5 trades$617,6103 min
1/3/2026, 3:05:55 PM3 trades$533,3853 min
3/4/2026, 4:06:59 PM77 trades$330,8143 min
2/16/2025, 4:02:22 PM4 trades$319,3095 min
3/18/2025, 1:38:31 PM8 trades$302,1897 min
6/29/2025, 9:56:23 PM8 trades$301,6994 min
5/9/2025, 5:37:06 AM28 trades$300,38735 min
12/21/2025, 5:38:37 PM1 trades$299,7000 min
12/21/2025, 2:46:19 PM3 trades$299,4001 min
6/24/2025, 11:15:39 AM8 trades$295,0137 min
1/2/2026, 7:26:27 PM11 trades$291,7836 min
2/20/2026, 2:14:08 PM2 trades$288,0003 min
1/21/2025, 3:35:23 AM36 trades$280,74227 min
2/13/2026, 5:19:07 PM9 trades$270,0098 min
1/19/2025, 11:09:39 PM23 trades$266,28913 min
11/6/2024, 9:47:43 AM4 trades$250,0008 min
12/24/2024, 5:12:50 AM5 trades$248,7053 min
1/20/2025, 3:01:07 PM2 trades$247,5471 min
12/22/2025, 8:27:43 AM2 trades$226,3423 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-27
12-11
04-21
08-20
12-09
03-02
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M14.3 / H79.8