Polydata

@tubeyou

#2,960,2942

0x1887879a1bda615e88f280b582514c7d54e2678a

53d· 12 markets · 861 tradesVol: $21,801,4392026-07-02T16:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 33%2/20
Profit Factor 0.41x0/15
HHI 26650/10
Profit Days 25%0/10
DD/Peak 296%0/10

Summary

Tubeyou is a relatively new and active trader on Polymarket, engaging in 861 trades across 12 markets over 32 days. Despite the high number of trades and a reported 100% win rate, tubeyou holds a low global PnL ranking (#2,960,294) with a significant net loss of over $5.3 million and a portfolio value of zero. Their overall performance metrics, including a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.29) and a profit factor of zero, indicate poor profitability and high risk exposure.

Tubeyou appears to focus on a small range of markets with a strong contrarian approach, as suggested by badges like Contrarian and Diamond Hands, implying a tendency to hold positions long-term without selling. The lack of sell transactions and a zero percent in weather markets suggest a concentrated and possibly inflexible strategy. Their trading style might involve dollar-cost averaging (DCA), given the related badge, and high-volume trades, but the declining equity trend points to ineffective timing or market selection.

The key strength of tubeyou lies in their high trading volume and consistent activity, which could provide learning opportunities and data for strategy refinement. However, the substantial losses, low smart score, and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight significant risks. Without adjustments, tubeyou’s current approach may continue to produce unfavorable outcomes on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 71.8 entries/market
Whale
$12,027,793
High Roller
$381,059/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,788,512$-5,392,989Vol: $21,801,322
🏛️ POLITICS#1,495,315$-100Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,393,089
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,801,439
Total Redeem
$6,723,472
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
861B / 0S
Daily Volume
$381,059
Account Age
53d
since May 13, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$3,701,731
Win Rate
100%
4W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$925,596
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,559,254 (96.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$2,750,772
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?$619,391
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$189,091
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$143,130

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.292
Sortino
-0.322
HHI
2665
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.593
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.9%
Top-5 markets
89.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
66% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 3.51 — diverse, typical for human9% at night — normal sleep pattern11/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.47 — human randomness27 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
71.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
3 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)60.9%
High (>55c)39.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 95.1%

Other$3,702,384
Seoul$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
11

Single bracket

<=1
10 brackets
<=2
11 brackets
<=3
11 brackets
<=4
11 brackets
<=5
11 brackets
<=8
11 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 11:19:58 AM1 trades$1000 min
5/17/2026, 10:31:00 AM3 trades$238,2420 min
5/17/2026, 10:43:47 AM3 trades$71,2503 min
5/17/2026, 10:54:36 AM3 trades$101,2507 min
5/17/2026, 11:23:25 AM1 trades$33,7500 min
5/17/2026, 11:33:13 AM1 trades$22,5000 min
5/17/2026, 11:40:39 AM1 trades$45,0000 min
5/17/2026, 11:58:21 AM1 trades$33,7500 min
5/17/2026, 12:13:47 PM1 trades$67,5000 min
5/17/2026, 12:56:22 PM1 trades$90,0000 min
5/17/2026, 3:36:54 PM7 trades$287,5455 min
5/17/2026, 4:01:28 PM161 trades$1,370,81814 min
5/19/2026, 12:29:17 PM4 trades$668,5780 min
5/19/2026, 1:10:01 PM2 trades$228,7503 min
5/19/2026, 1:51:44 PM11 trades$1,631,75013 min
5/19/2026, 2:13:07 PM1 trades$61,0000 min
5/19/2026, 2:43:04 PM3 trades$305,0005 min
5/19/2026, 2:57:37 PM3 trades$289,7508 min
5/19/2026, 3:20:45 PM28 trades$1,853,59025 min
5/24/2026, 2:00:48 PM7 trades$407,68311 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
05-19
05-24
05-31
06-03
06-11
06-12
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event