tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur

@tuntuntu…ahur

#49,21420

0x0bd400947db20cc61f82af5ee98f6e5eecbaf2fe

~11d· 113 markets · 1782 tradesVol: $87,0102026-08-04 21:04:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (40/113)2.7/20
0.88x (win $2,455 / loss $2,801)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8090/15
Sortino -3.3140/10
$-0.0282 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 240 (113 markets)10/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 359% of peak ($483 / $135)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,157
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#858$2,257Vol: $84,463
SPORTS#1,663,116$-90Vol: $2,445

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,157
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$87,010
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
806B / 976S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
40W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$2,157
Win Rate
35%
40W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $808 (0.37460352790607093% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?$324
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?$269
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?$214
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$211
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?$145
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?$141
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?$139
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$122
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?$91
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?$87

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?$-342
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?$-259
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?$-244
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?$-170
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?$-138
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?$-120
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?$-115
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?$-104
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 20?$-89
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?$-86

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.140
Sortino
-0.155
HHI
323
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
30.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.2
Very active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.2m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 95s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule74 trades/day — mass trading4.7 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.77
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.4%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)43.5%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 12:48:08 PM76 trades$1,65110 min
6/17/2026, 9:21:13 AM39 trades$1,24920 min
6/20/2026, 2:37:49 PM91 trades$1,01832 min
6/18/2026, 11:38:37 AM42 trades$96011 min
6/20/2026, 1:23:14 PM82 trades$89427 min
6/20/2026, 6:49:46 PM33 trades$78817 min
6/17/2026, 9:00:59 AM81 trades$73113 min
6/20/2026, 7:35:29 AM9 trades$6853 min
6/17/2026, 9:50:05 PM20 trades$67411 min
6/20/2026, 10:44:53 AM14 trades$6535 min
6/23/2026, 7:56:11 PM7 trades$6094 min
6/18/2026, 12:29:20 PM28 trades$59326 min
6/18/2026, 1:05:58 PM28 trades$50013 min
6/18/2026, 2:38:11 PM3 trades$5000 min
6/19/2026, 7:29:43 AM22 trades$47413 min
6/19/2026, 12:12:43 PM44 trades$46811 min
7/9/2026, 4:43:50 PM13 trades$4495 min
6/22/2026, 9:39:17 PM14 trades$4423 min
6/22/2026, 9:50:25 PM6 trades$43010 min
6/20/2026, 3:17:26 PM19 trades$3977 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-22
06-23
06-28
06-29
07-08
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.77/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.4 / M15 / H43.5